It is hard to “predict” the future. Technically, that’s not true … It is easy to predict the future. What’s difficult is to predict the future accurately and consistently.
As we become better and more nuanced at predictive modeling, we look for ways to use technology to “know” things faster. Building dynamic and adaptive models based on discovery and learning lets you compound edges and improve your signal-to-noise ratio.
Another way to improve your predictions is to choose the “right things” to predict. For example, in general, I believe human nature is one of the easier things to predict because even as the world changes, humans remain remarkably consistent. Consequently, instead of predicting technology advances directly, it makes sense to predict the capabilities humans will desire and the likely constraints to getting them.
Here is a video that noted science fiction writer, Arthur C. Clarke, made in 1974. In it, he made some guesses about the future of technology. Pretty impressive!
via Australia Broadcasting Corporation
The entrepreneurial journey is about making the impossible “possible”, the possible “likely”, the likely “inevitable”, and then making the inevitable happen!
Many life-changing (or world-changing) technologies already exist. Which do you believe will have the biggest impacts? Here is a quick and dirty list: Artificial Intelligence, the Blockchain, Quantum Computing, Augmented Reality, Neuro-interfaces, the ability to read and write our genes, and printing organic material (like food or replacement organs).
There is a promise and a peril to each. Nonetheless, we are living in a golden age for exponential technologies that will change the face and nature of our lives (and perhaps life itself). Some of these technologies have become inevitabilities ... but what they enable is virtually limitless.
Where do see this going?
We certainly live in exciting times!
