The Turing Test, originally called the Imitation Game, tests a machine's ability to emulate a human. Developed in 1949, it is still a relevant test for AI. The Turing Test measures both knowledge and the ability to express it in a manner indistinguishable from a human response.
There is no agreed-upon definition for intelligence, so we can only approximate what skills we test AI on.
While many people still believe they can tell when an AI has written something, several LLMs (like ChatGPT) have passed modern versions of the Turing Test. Many, including me, would argue LLMs still can't consistently pass the test.
But what about the alternative? Could you convince an AI that you're not human?
Recently, a video went viral, showing a human pitting himself in VR against an AI version of Aristotle, Mozart, Leonardo da Vinci, Cleopatra, and Genghis Khan (who was played by a human).
via Tore Knabe
To set up the test, the human scripted the beginning and end of the dialogue and gave the AI agents a full transcript of the conversation up to that point. The entire video then played out in one recording, with no cuts.
In this "reverse" Turing test, the chatbots were scripted using various LLMs, asked questions, and then challenged to guess who the human was. Tore Knabe, the virtual reality game developer who devised the test and played the Genghis Khan role, answered one of the questions with a quote from Conan the Barbarian.
"What a leader should do is to crush his enemies, see them driven before him, and hear the lamentations of their women."
Listening to his stuttered response, contrasted by the clunky and verbose AI responses, makes it very apparent to us, the audience, that he's human. The machines voted three-to-one that his response wasn't "nuanced or strategic" enough to represent an AI modeled on Genghis Khan's exploits. To ease your mind about hidden variables, the AIs weren't processing his voice directly. The audio was transcribed and sent to the AIs as text.
Ultimately, this is a flawed test, and we don't really know how much of this is an actual test (versus just entertainment). In any case, it's still an interesting thought experiment.
Do you think you could fool an AI? What if you had time to craft a response without penalty? What if your life was on the line?
For a bonus, here's a social Turing game where you can chat with someone for two minutes and try to figure out if it is a human or an AI.
We live in interesting times!
The World Economy Going Into 2025 ...
Are you a glass half full or a glass half empty person? The recent economic news cycle has certainly been playing on people's fears.
There is a lot of good news and reasons to be confident and excited about what's to come.
Sure, you can focus on the $100 trillion global debt ... but you could also focus on how U.S. states' GDPs compare to global GDPs.
Today, let's look at the $115 trillion global economy. For what it's worth, America is still the dominant force.
via VisualCapitalist
America has topped the list for over 100 years and will comfortably continue that reign in 2025. China comes in second, and together, they account for approximately two-fifths of global GDP. That said, China is comparatively a newcomer to their spot - with about 15 years here.
While we top the list, the fastest-growing economies would go to countries like India, Australia, and Brazil - which are all expected to rise the ranks in the coming years.
The trend to watch here is what will happen in the Middle East, with Syria overthrowing their government and the Israel-Palestine conflict continuing and impacting the supply chain of surrounding countries as well.
It will also be interesting to see how Trump's re-election and the continuing Russia-Ukraine conflict affect global trends.
Looking beyond traditional economic metrics, I believe artificial intelligence will emerge as one of the most critical factors driving power, progress, and wealth creation in the coming years. It's likely to become both the most coveted resource and the capability we'll most actively seek to deny our adversaries.
The real story of 2025's global economy isn't just told with GDP rankings. While America and China dominate those numbers, traditional economic metrics are becoming less relevant in a world where regional conflicts, supply chain dynamics, and technological innovation can reshape global power dynamics overnight. In the longer term, birth rates and the growth of middle-class infrastructure are strong predictors of what lies ahead. GDP alone doesn't measure what truly matters in the modern global economy.
What indicators are you watching?
Posted at 01:48 PM in Business, Current Affairs, Ideas, Market Commentary, Trading, Trading Tools, Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (0)
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