Capitalogix

The Rise of the Megacity

Population growth is an interesting measure. Historically, growth has been slow.  But something changed that.  And the implications are stunning.

Scientists estimate that humans have existed for over 130,000 years. It took until 1804 for us to reach 1 Billion. We doubled that population by 1927 (123 years later), and then doubled it again in only 47 years later (which was 1974). 

Early population growth was driven by the agricultural revolution. Since 1804, the industrial revolution, health and safety advances, and technology have radically improved quality of life - spurring comparatively rapid growth. 

via Axios (Click for an Interactive Graph)

World population growth rates peaked in the late 1960s and have declined sharply in the past four decades, but we're still on a positive trend. We're expected to reach 9 billion people by 2050, but a lot of that growth comes from developing countries - they also almost exclusively come from urban areas. 

Urbanization: Megacities

Since 2014, over 50% of the world's population has lived in urban areas - today it's approximately 55%. That number is growing.

Ironically, as we grow more digitally connected, our world is shrinking and our populations are concentrating. 

An interesting consequence of this rapid urbanization and population growth in developing countries has been the increased development of Megacities - defined as cities with populations greater than 10 million. Today, there are 33 megacities - more than triple the number in the 1990s. 

This creates a set of interesting opportunities and challenges. 

For example, how will these cities deal with infrastructure - sanitation, transportation, etc.

 

via Blackrock (Click to view full infographic)

 

Here Are Some Links For Your Weekly Reading - June 2nd, 2019

Toronto plays Golden State in game two of the NBA Finals tonight. Tickets were a little pricey!

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye recently. Hope you find something interesting.

 

Lighter Links:

• This is Why Einstein Knew that Gravity Must Bend Light. (Forbes)
• The Lucrative Black Market in Human Fat. (The Atlantic)
• Goldman Sachs's Chief Critic Picks New York's Top New Restaurants. (Bloomberg)
• Amazon Working on Wearable Device that Will Track Your Emotions. (News18)
• Harvard Spent 80 Years Studying Happiness, and We Now Know the 1 Key Habit that Makes People Happier. (The Problem: Most People Never Even Try). (Inc)

 

Trading Links:

• Al Gore Keeps Beating the Stock Market. Here's What He's Buying and Selling. (Barrons)
• Big Revenues, Huge Valuations and Major Losses: Charting the Era of the Unicorn IPO. (TechCrunch)
• Musk's SpaceX Raised over $1 Billion in Six Months: Filings. (Reuters)
• Texas Set to Become 11Th State to Ban Red Light Cameras. (Gizmodo)
• Alibaba Billionaire Jack Ma: I Know Nothing about Tech or Marketing – This Is the Secret to My Success. (CNBC)

 

 

Here Are Some Links For Your Weekly Reading - May 26th, 2019

Theresa May has just announced her resignation as UK Prime Minister. She's faced massive criticism for an inability to come to a resolution on Brexit, and missing two deadlines. A new PM will be appointed in July.

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye recently. Hope you find something interesting.

 

Lighter Links:

 

• Our Coming DNA Nightmare, as Outlined by a Dystopian Graphic Novel. (FastCompany)
• Google May Know You Better Than You Know Yourself. (Wall Street Journal)
• Leonardo Da Vinci Designed an Ideal City, Centuries Ahead of Its Time. (TheConversation)
• U.S. Among the Ten Most Stressed Nations Worldwide [Infographic]. (Forbes)
• Princeton Valedictorian Gets Engaged to Her 71-Year-old Former Professor. (FoxNews)

 

Trading Links:

• Economics in the Age of Big Data. (Science)
• These are the 20 Highest-Paid World Leaders. (CNW)
• America's Strong Economic Growth this Year Surprises Economists. (Economist)
• Millionaires Flee Their Homelands as Tensions Rise and Taxes Bite. (Bloomberg)
• This Map Showing the Fastest and Slowest Internet Speeds in the US Could Predict the Path of a Silicon Valley Startup Exodus. (BusinessInsider)

BBQ Fest - A New Tradition

Once a year, I go to the World BBQ Championship at Memphis in May. 

It's three days of friends, food, fun, and bad puns (like #AporkalypseNow and  #MeatDrinkAndBeMerry).

You've heard the phrase  "Put your money where your mouth is ..."  This year we sponsored a tent and brought some of the Capitalogix team to enjoy the festivities. 

 

 

Here's a look at what was cooking in our tent.  It had Brazilian "churrasco" flair. 

Our Grill Master was Blake Carson, who took a traditional Brazilian Steakhouse cooking style – and innovated upon it – creating the Carson Rodizio kit (which started as a Kickstarter project).  It is a multi-rotisserie rack that converts your favorite backyard grill into an open and spinning Brazilian style Steakhouse.  It's clever, functional, and cool... and it's been used to win multiple barbecue championships.

I love to experience an entrepreneur's mind at work.  

It's not always about what you add.  Sometimes, it is about what you take away.  Less is often more. 

Here is a one-minute interview I shot with Blake.

 

 

Innovation, like opportunity, is all around you.

It's not there for you if you don't see the opportunity, and seize it.

Here Are Some Links For Your Weekly Reading - May 5th, 2019

 

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye recently. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

• These are Amazon's 38 Rules for Success. (FastCompany)
• Amazon Used an AI to Automatically Fire Low-Productivity Workers. (Futurism)
• Cornell Scientists Create Living' Machines that Eat, Grow, and Evolve. (TheNextWeb)
• Drinking Tequila Could Help You Lose Weight. (Elle)
• Is It True that It's More Painful to Come Second Rather Than Third? New Insights from the 2016 Olympics. (Digest)

 

Trading Links:

• Making Sense of the Market in the Age of Algorithmic Trading. (Barrons)
• The next Gig Economy Will Be On-demand Knowledge.(WEForum)
• Central Banks Extraordinary Policies: What Could Go Wrong.(SeeItMarket)
• Super Rich Ditching Jet Ownership for a Portfolio of Aviation Options. (Bloomberg)
• If You Invested $1,000 in Microsoft in 2009, Here's How Much You'd Have Now. (CNBC)

 

 

Social Media Is Changing Everything: A Reprisal

I came across a post from 2009 about social media. 10 years later, with the knowledge of how much data we use today, it's quite a read.

Here it is in its full glory. 

Social Media Is Changing Everything: October 18th, 2009

My son won't use e-mail the way I did. So how will people communicate and collaborate in the next wave of communications?

Here is a peek into the difference that is taking hold.  I was looking at recent phone use.  The numbers you are about to see are from the first 20 days of our current billing cycle.

• • My wife, Jennifer, has used 21 text messages and 38 MB of data.
  • I have used 120 text messages and 29 MB of data.
  • My son, at college, used 420 text messages, and is on a WiFi campus so doesn't use 3G data.
  • My son, in high school, used 5,798 text messages and 472 MB of data.

How can that be?  That level of emotional sluttiness makes porn seem downright wholesome. 

But, of course, that isn't how he sees it.  He is holding many conversations at once.  Some are social; some are about the logistics of who, what, when, where and why ... some are even about homework.  Yet, most don't use full sentences, let alone paragraphs.  There is near instant gratification.  And, the next generation of business people will consider this normal.

Is social media a fad? Or is it the biggest shift since the Industrial Revolution?

Welcome to the World of Socialnomics.  This video has a bunch of interesting statistics ... and is fun to watch. 

 

 

Other Resources:

• • Here is a link to a short-version of this video.
  • This reminds me of the "Shift Happens!" video.
  • Worth Looking At ... Here are the Stats.

Social Media Is Changing Everything: April 20th, 2019 

Looking at the stats from 2009 is pretty funny

• My son was using 472 MB of data a month
• Hulu had grown from to 373 million total streams in April 2009
• Only 25% of Americans in the past month said they watched a short video on their phone

For some context, I looked up the comparative numbers for 2018. 

• I picked a random month in 2018 ... in August my son used 10.85 GB of data. He doesn't text as often - but has sent/received 282,000 snapchats since downloading it 5 years ago.
• Hulu has over 20 million subscribers who streamed more than 26 million hours a day in 2018 
• People spend over five hours a day on their smartphones on average. 70% of web traffic happens on a mobile device, and more than 50% of videos are watched on mobile (93% of twitter videos). 

Here's what happens every minute of every day on the internet

via Lori Lewis and Chadd Callahan

 

A little different than 2009 ...

Here Are Some Links For Your Weekly Reading - April 21st, 2019

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye recently. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

• What are the Most Promising Uses for Blockchain We Haven't Seen Yet? (Forbes)
• Sperm and Sensibility: The Modern World of Designer Children. (TLS)
• Thousands of Amazon Workers are Listening in on Echo Audio, Report Says. (AppleInsider)
• Strength Training for the Lungs: Why Heavy Breathing Could Be a Shortcut to Improving Your Health. (Telegraph)
• Forecasting the Future: Can the Hive Mind Let Us Predict the Future? (Futurism)

 

Trading Links:

• NVIDIA AI Research Points to an Evolution of the Chip Business. (ZDNet)
• Philip Morris International is Sticking with E-Cigs, Not Marijuana. (Fool)
• This Simple Map Shows the Biggest Employers in Each State. (Good)
• Lyft's I.P.O. is Making the Same Circle of Men Rich, Again. (New York Times)
• The Future of Electric Cars is Happening Now in China. (Quartz)

 

 

Let My People Go!

It's a special weekend. 

For Jews, it's Passover - the holiday honoring our exodus from Egypt. 

For Christians, it's Easter - the holiday honoring Jesus's resurrection. 

The overlap can be seen in DaVinci's Last Supper, a Passover Seder, and Jesus's last meal before his crucifixion.  

For both, it's a holy and family-centric time. A reminder to appreciate what we have, and how we stand on the shoulders of our ancestors. 

One of the memorable phrases from Exodus is when Moses says "Let my people go!"  For generations, people assumed he was talking to the Pharoh about his people's freedom. After a week of eating clogging matzoh, matzoh balls, and even fried matzoh ... for many Jews "Let my people go" takes on a different meaning.

Hope you celebrated with family, food, and a reverence for all the blessings around you. 

Don't Miss The Forest For The Trees: Change Blindness

There are few certainties in life ... according to Benjamin Franklin:

"Our new Constitution is now established, and has an appearance that promises permanency; but in this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes."

According to the ancient Greek philosopher Heraclitus: 

"Change is the only constant in life" 

He's also quoted as saying "everything changes and nothing stands still."

Maybe he didn't pay his taxes. 

Change is a constant, yet, it's often hard to see the forest for the trees. 

It seems like just yesterday that my son, Zach, was making sand castles on the beach – or wearing silly t-shirts. Now, he's 26, the soft spot on his head has filled in enough to consider him an adult – and he is generally unrecognizable from that kid on the beach at the Jersey Shore. 

 

On a day-by-day basis, I rarely noticed the change. However, looking at old pictures makes it obvious that there was massive growth and progress. 

So, what did I notice?  Sometimes it was what a great kid, or how loving, he had been.  Other times, it was almost the opposite.  Or, perhaps, I noticed that he didn't eat vegetables, or that he drove with a heavy foot.  In any case, what I focused on is what my life seemed filled with, to me. And it was mostly about the moment.  The bigger picture was lost (or hidden) behind the small things that make up the fabric of our life (or at least our perception of our life).

It is human nature.  Survival of the fittest rewarded a focus on avoiding predators or other dangers ... as well as recognizing the opportunity to eat. 

Thousands of years later, fear and greed still drive more than we like to admit.  It is also a big part of the engine that drives our markets. 

It is all about perspective, isn't it? 

We are where we are. It doesn't really matter how or why we got there. We are here. And little-by-little we won't be here anymore.

If you are looking at the country or the economy, realize that it took years to get here. Simply changing a regime won't flip a switch.  Some changes happen in slow-motion. 

Or, perhaps from our perspective, some changes appear to happen in slow-motion ... but what others see as change, you see as symptoms of the root cause. 

From different vantage points, the rate of change can seem different.

 

The same can be said for changes in a person or changes in a business. It's easy to see the gap between where you are and where you'd like to be. Regardless, you will probably get there faster by building momentum and confidence by focusing on the improvements and progress you're making. If you change your perspective - you may realize you've made more progress than you thought. 

Tough times are great opportunities to discover character.  I'm often amazed at the innovation and insight that occurs at times like these!

Don't pay so much attention to what you think you have to do that you forget the reason you're doing it in the first place. 

Here Are Some Links For Your Weekly Reading - April 7th, 2019

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye recently. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

• Scientists Plead to Stop Creation of Killer Robots: We're at 'The Brink of a New Arms Race'. (FoxNews)
• Moratorium on Human Genome Editing: Time to Get It Right. (HastingsCenter)
• 'Those Who Obeyed the Rules Were Favored by Evolution'.(Spiegel)
• Meet the World's Oldest Confirmed Person, 116-Year-Old Kane Tanaka. (TwistedSifter)
• Why Democrats Want to Abolish the Electoral College and Republicans Want to Keep It. (Fortune)

Trading Links:

• Why Companies that Wait to Adopt AI May Never Catch Up.(HBR)
• Iranian Hackers Have Hit Hundreds of Companies in past Two Years. (Wall Street Journal)
• What is an Inverted Yield Curve and What Does It Really Mean? (TheStreet)
• S&P 500 Posts Best First Quarter in 21 Years. (FoxBusiness)
• Bill Gates is Back in the $100 Billion Club, and Not All Thanks to Microsoft. (CNW)