Capitalogix: Trading

Trading

November 09, 2013

Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

Hope your week went smoother than the Obamacare launch.

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

Why Hiring ‘B’ Players Kills Companies. (VentureBeat)
Artificial Intelligence Evolves to Another Level. New Stuff from Google & Ray Kurzweil (MIT)
Improving Predictions: How to Make Better Forecasts. (David Brook)
A Data Scientist's Real Job: Storytelling. (Harvard Business Review)
What If Superpowers Were Real? A series of TED lessons explore the science of flight, super speed, invisibility and more. (TED)

Trading Links:

Central Banks Risk Clash of Titans. (Wall Street Journal)
Top 40 Buffett-isms: Inspiration to Become a Better Investor. (Forbes)
High Speed Trading Puts Investors On Losing End. (Money)
A Generational Low in Managed Futures? (AttainCapital)
Are There More Hedge Funds in the U.S. than Taco Bells? Does that imply fewer winners as more roll the dice? (FiscalTimes)

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Posted at 07:26 PM in Business, Current Affairs, Ideas, Just for Fun, Market Commentary, Trading, Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)

November 02, 2013

What Apple's iPad Has Done to the Personal Computer Market

Apple released their new high-end iPad this week ... PC-makers weeped.

Apple has effectively taken the air out of the tires of the personal computer market with the iPad.

Here is a jaw-dropper of a chart.

via Horace Dediu at Asymco.

Talk about Creative Destruction ...

Posted at 08:53 PM in Business, Current Affairs, Gadgets, Market Commentary, Trading, Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBack (0)

October 20, 2013

Where Microsoft Makes Its Money

Microsoft released some interesting stuff this week.

The update to Windows 8 is here.

They released an app that lets you control your desktop from your iOS or Android device.

Also, here is a chart that shows where Microsoft makes its money. For someone that doesn't pay that close attention to micro moves coming out of Redmond, the chart is somewhat surprising.

On one hand, notice that Microsoft's Windows franchise (which was once dominant) is now stagnant. On the other hand, it's easy to see that there is much more to Microsoft than just Windows.

As you can see, the Office business, and the Server & Tools business are both bigger than Windows and growing at a healthy rate.

Posted at 12:10 PM in Business, Current Affairs, Gadgets, Market Commentary, Trading, Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)

October 19, 2013

Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

The Markets are up and the Government is open again; so everything must be fine.

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

The Daily Routines of 7 Famous Entrepreneurs and How to Design Yours. (BufferApp)
Richard Feynman: Eccentric Genius on Life, the Universe and Everything. (Telegraph)
We've Found Water on Mars—Two pints per cubic foot of soil, to be exact. (Newser)
If We Meet Aliens: What to Do? The Ethics of Interstellar Encounters. (Discovery)
10 Siri Tricks To Help You Be Your Most Productive Self. (Openforum)

Trading Links:

Why Every Small Employer Should Sign Up For Obamacare's SHOP Exchange. (Forbes)
T. Boone Pickens No Longer a Billionaire - Forbes List. (BusinessInsider)
High-Frequency Trading: Business Gets Tough for Wall Street Gunslingers. (FT)
This Sociological Theory Explains Why Wall Street Is Rigged for Crisis. (The Atlantic)
Twitter I.P.O. May Set Stage for Resurgence in Tech Offerings. (NYTimes)

Posted at 10:50 PM in Business, Current Affairs, Market Commentary, Science, Trading | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)

October 13, 2013

Dow Jones Industrials Still Trading Above Key Support Levels

This week, the Dow Industrials bounced-off its 200-day moving average and technical traders relaxed a little.

Earlier in the week, a number of U.S. stock indexes briefly slipped below their 50-day averages. Despite the Shut-Down, they have bullishly regained those support lines.

A key example took place in the Dow Industrials. The chart shows the Dow bouncing off initial chart support at its late August intra-day low (14760) and its 200-day average (red line). For technical traders, that is a very important test.

The sharp rally has kept the Dow above those two important support levels.

Posted at 04:31 PM in Current Affairs, Market Commentary, Trading, Trading Tools | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)

October 11, 2013

Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

The new red line hurting our government ...

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

Get Your Team To Fail More – and why that is a good thing. (Harvard Business Review)
U.S. Says Iran Hacked Navy Computers. (Wall Street Journal)
That Time Vladimir Putin Beat a U.S. Congressman In a Drunken Arm-Wrestling Match. (Slate)
Why Your Parents Hate Your Spouse. Hint: it’s all about the genes. (TIME)
Timelapse of the Imperceptible Effects of Aging Created from Family Portraits. (Colossal)

Trading Links:

The New Forbes 400 for 2013: Facts and Figures on America's Richest. (Forbes)
How Every NFL Owner Made Their Money. (The Week)
Derivatives Trading Safer and More Efficient, Says Citadel. (FT)
Home Prices Surged Across U.S. in July, up 21% in L.A. (LATimes)
Lessons From Sun Tzu's The Art Of War For Your Trading. (BigTrends)

Posted at 01:33 PM in Business, Current Affairs, Just for Fun, Market Commentary, Science, Trading | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0)

October 05, 2013

Why the Markets Are Not Showing Much Fear ...

With the government shut down and the debt ceiling looming, one could argue that the U.S. economy may be on the edge of a crisis.

But the stock market is not reflecting this.

During periods of crisis and high stock market volatility, correlations among stocks increase. In other words, stocks move up and down together.

JP Morgan just published a quarterly market chartbook , which includes a useful chart tracking stock market volatility and correlations among stocks since the Great Depression.

Why? Perhaps Because Markets Tend to Go Up After Government Shutdowns.

We are in the 18th government shutdown in US history.

For some perspective, this chart plots the average S&P 500 performance for the 20 trading days (approximately one calendar month) before and 60 trading days (approximately 3 calendar months) after a government shutdown began.

131005 Markets Tend to Go Up After Government Shutdown

The chart illustrates a bullish pattern. While the stock market has tended to struggle prior to and during the initial three days following a government shutdown ... Following this, the stock market has (on average) trended higher over the ensuing three months.

One explanation for this particular average pattern is that the market abhors uncertainty. So as the shutdown approaches, investors fear for the worst. However, after the shutdown begins and investors notice that the economy continues to function (coupled with the fact that the shutdown may be short-lived) ultimately encourages a stock market rally as investors worst fears are not realized.

It should be noted that this chart is an 'average performance chart' and that following the last 17 shutdowns, the stock market traded up 60 trading days after a shutdown on 10 out of 17 occasions (i.e. 58.8%) with the average shutdown lasting 6.4 calendar days.