Capitalogix

What Apple's iPad Has Done to the Personal Computer Market

Apple released their new high-end iPad this week ... PC-makers weeped.

Apple has effectively taken the air out of the tires of the personal computer market with the iPad.

Here is a jaw-dropper of a chart.

 

via Horace Dediu at Asymco.

Talk about Creative Destruction ...

 

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Where Microsoft Makes Its Money

Microsoft released some interesting stuff this week.

The update to Windows 8 is here.

 

 

They released an app that lets you control your desktop from your iOS or Android device.

Also, here is a chart that shows where Microsoft makes its money.  For someone that doesn't pay that close attention to micro moves coming out of Redmond, the chart is somewhat surprising.

On one hand, notice that Microsoft's Windows franchise (which was once dominant) is now stagnant. On the other hand, it's easy to see that there is much more to Microsoft than just Windows.

 

 

As you can see, the Office business, and the Server & Tools business are both bigger than Windows and growing at a healthy rate.

 

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Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

The Markets are up and the Government is open again; so everything must be fine.

 

 

 

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

 

Lighter Links:

• The Daily Routines of 7 Famous Entrepreneurs and How to Design Yours. (BufferApp)
• Richard Feynman: Eccentric Genius on Life, the Universe and Everything. (Telegraph)
• We've Found Water on Mars—Two pints per cubic foot of soil, to be exact. (Newser)
• If We Meet Aliens: What to Do? The Ethics of Interstellar Encounters. (Discovery)
• 10 Siri Tricks To Help You Be Your Most Productive Self. (Openforum)

 

Trading Links:

• Why Every Small Employer Should Sign Up For Obamacare's SHOP Exchange. (Forbes)
• T. Boone Pickens No Longer a Billionaire - Forbes List. (BusinessInsider)
• High-Frequency Trading: Business Gets Tough for Wall Street Gunslingers. (FT)
• This Sociological Theory Explains Why Wall Street Is Rigged for Crisis. (The Atlantic)
• Twitter I.P.O. May Set Stage for Resurgence in Tech Offerings. (NYTimes)

Visualizing the Federal Shutdown In One Chart [Live Infographic]

This dashboard shows the effects of the current Federal Government shutdown.

The stats at the top are updated live based on average figures multiplied by the time since the shutdown began.

 

 

 

To get a sense of the overall situation, the treemap graphic shows which federal employees are still at work, and which are furloughed.

Dow Jones Industrials Still Trading Above Key Support Levels

This week, the Dow Industrials bounced-off its 200-day moving average and technical traders relaxed a little.

Earlier in the week, a number of U.S. stock indexes briefly slipped below their 50-day averages. Despite the Shut-Down, they have bullishly regained those support lines.

A key example took place in the Dow Industrials. The chart shows the Dow bouncing off initial chart support at its late August intra-day low (14760) and its 200-day average (red line). For technical traders, that is a very important test.

 

 

The sharp rally has kept the Dow above those two important support levels. 

 

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Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

The new red line hurting our government ...

 

 

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

Lighter Links:

• Get Your Team To Fail More – and why that is a good thing. (Harvard Business Review)
• U.S. Says Iran Hacked Navy Computers. (Wall Street Journal)
• That Time Vladimir Putin Beat a U.S. Congressman In a Drunken Arm-Wrestling Match. (Slate)
• Why Your Parents Hate Your Spouse. Hint: it’s all about the genes. (TIME)
• Timelapse of the Imperceptible Effects of Aging Created from Family Portraits. (Colossal)

 

Trading Links:

• The New Forbes 400 for 2013: Facts and Figures on America's Richest. (Forbes)
• How Every NFL Owner Made Their Money. (The Week)
• Derivatives Trading Safer and More Efficient, Says Citadel. (FT)
• Home Prices Surged Across U.S. in July, up 21% in L.A. (LATimes)
• Lessons From Sun Tzu's The Art Of War For Your Trading. (BigTrends)

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Why the Markets Are Not Showing Much Fear ...

With the government shut down and the debt ceiling looming, one could argue that the U.S. economy may be on the edge of a crisis.

But the stock market is not reflecting this.

 

 

During periods of crisis and high stock market volatility, correlations among stocks increase. In other words, stocks move up and down together.

JP Morgan just published a quarterly market chartbook , which includes a useful chart tracking stock market volatility and correlations among stocks since the Great Depression.

 

Why?  Perhaps Because Markets Tend to Go Up After Government Shutdowns.

We are in the 18th government shutdown in US history. 

 

For some perspective, this chart plots the average S&P 500 performance for the 20 trading days (approximately one calendar month) before and 60 trading days (approximately 3 calendar months) after a government shutdown began.

 

 

 

The chart illustrates a bullish pattern.  While the stock market has tended to struggle prior to and during the initial three days following a government shutdown ... Following this, the stock market has (on average) trended higher over the ensuing three months. 

 

One explanation for this particular average pattern is that the market abhors uncertainty. So as the shutdown approaches, investors fear for the worst. However, after the shutdown begins and investors notice that the economy continues to function (coupled with the fact that the shutdown may be short-lived) ultimately encourages a stock market rally as investors worst fears are not realized. 

 

It should be noted that this chart is an 'average performance chart' and that following the last 17 shutdowns, the stock market traded up 60 trading days after a shutdown on 10 out of 17 occasions (i.e. 58.8%) with the average shutdown lasting 6.4 calendar days.

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Wall Street Responds To The Government Shutdown

Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

Funny cartoon by Nate Beeler.  Error: The Government has stopped responding.

  

Too bad it's not just a cartoon.

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

 

Lighter Links:

• 59% Think U.S. More Exceptional Than Other Nations. (RasmussenReports)
• We are #1: 60% of Porn Websites Are Hosted in the United States. (Statista)
• Trouble Using iOS 7? Here Are 15 Tricks To Make The Transition Easier. (Forbes)
• London "Fatberg": 17-ton ball of fat found in London's sewer. (Slate)
• Economist: A McDonald's Hamburger Is the Cheapest, Most Nutritious Food in Human History. At least when starvation, rather than obesity, is your problem. (Neatorama)

 

Trading Links:

• Apple Beats Coca-Cola to Emerge as Most Valuable Global Brand. (The Industry Standard)
• U.S. Third Quarter Earnings Warning Ratio Is Second Worst Since 2001. (Reuters)
• Why Stock Markets May Be Lagging Indicators. (Forbes)
• Time to Graduate to Futures? (TheStreet)
• White House Releases Animated Explanation of ObamaCare. (WSJ)

Here Are Some Links for Your Weekend Reading

If Obamacare had a warning label, besides potentially shutting-down the government ...

  

 

Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

 

Lighter Links:

• Slow Ideas. Some innovations spread fast. How do you speed the ones that don't? (NewYorker)
• Please Ignore the Man in the White Coat Who Is Reading Your Mind. (Businessweek)
• South Korea Will Soon Be Home To An Invisible Skyscraper. (Forbes)
• A New Alternative to Wi-Fi: Imagine a wireless network with a mile-wide range. (Qz)
• Find Out Where You Rank On The List Of The World's Richest People. Globally, it is probably higher than you think. (FastCo)

 

Trading Links:

• Using Google to Predict Recessions - Real Time Economics. (WSJ)
• 10 Reasons Why Economics Is an Art, Not a Science - Ritholtz. (WashingtonPost)
• Fox Sold 85 % Of Its 2014 Super Bowl Ads - Business Insider. (BusinessInsider)
• So You Want To Invent Your Own Currency –– Great Way to Get Rich. (AeonMagazine)
• Institutions Using More Hedge Funds Since Lehman Crash. The reason, they are looking for the risk management and diversification. (ThinkAdvisor)

The New Grand Theft Auto Videogame is the Fastest-Selling Entertainment Product Ever

GTA V reached the billion-dollar revenue milestone faster than any other entertainment product in history. 

Read that again ... Not only does that make GTA the fastest game to reach that milestone, but the fastest-selling entertainment product of all time.

It took the game only three days to achieve what Avatar, no less than the most successful movie of all times, did in 17 days.

 

With an estimated production/marketing budget of $265 million, GTA V is not only the most expensive video game of all time, but also more expensive than most of today's Hollywood blockbusters.

The two highest-grossing movies in history, James Cameron's Titanic and Avatar, both took considerably longer to pull in one billion. 

For what it's worth, I think is also says something good about the economy and disposable income.

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