Just for Fun

  • Remembering The ‘Crazy Ones’

    On September 28th, 1997 (almost exactly 17 years ago today), Apple released perhaps one of the most recognizable commercials of all time. I remember being mesmerized the first time I saw Apple Computer's iconic "Crazy Ones" video as part of their Think Different campaign.

    Steve Jobs originally recorded a version of "The Crazy Ones" himself, but chose to release the Richard Dreyfuss narrated version

     

    via Youtube

    Here is the text version of the script.

    Here's to the crazy ones.
    The misfits.
    The rebels.
    The troublemakers.
    The round pegs in the square holes.

    The ones who see things differently.

    They're not fond of rules.
    And they have no respect for the status quo.

    You can quote them, disagree with them,
    glorify or vilify them.
    About the only thing you can't do is ignore them.

    Because they change things.

    They push the human race forward.

    While some may see them as the crazy ones,
    we see genius.

    Because the people who are crazy enough to think
    they can change the world, are the ones who do.

        –     © 1997 Apple Computer, Inc.

    Click here for extra material about the video and campaign

    I think it has held up pretty well, and I had this piece of art commissioned for my office. 

    Crazy Genius_GapingVoid

    There's a lot to be said for carving your own path, pushing past perceived limits, and accomplishing something hard to ignore. 

  • Imaginary Centenarians: An Ig Nobel Pursuit

    The 34th Annual Ig Nobel Prize ceremony took place last Thursday at MIT. Every year since 1991, around the time the recipients of the genuine Novel Prizes are announced,  the Ig Nobel Prize awards the ten achievements that "first make people laugh, and then make them think. They're meant to celebrate the imaginative and encourage more interest in the sciences. 

    The first award for Biology was awarded to Robert Klark Graham, for pioneering development of the Repository for Germinal Choice, a sperm bank that accepted donations only from Nobellians and Olympians. While I jokingly tell my kids they have "superior genetic potential," this type of research and belief can have serious consequences

    In 1996, Physicist Robert Matthews earned a prize for his paper "Tumbling Toast, Murphy's Law and the Fundamental Constants," which sought to explain why toast tends to fall buttered-side down.

      
    Buttering-your-bread-before-toasting-it-cooks-butter-into-the-bread-1676209460

     

    In 2002, another physicist, Arnd Leike, earned the honor after using the law of exponential decay to explain the behavior of beer foam

    And in 2017, Marc-Antoine Fardin earned the honor for using fluid dynamics to finally answer the eternal question: "Can a cat be both a solid and a liquid?" In case you are squeamish, no blender was involved in that experiment.

    While these are funny examples, they're rooted in real science. As is the focus of this article, this year's Ig Nobel Prize for Demography

    In my circles, it is becoming more common to discuss how to live past 100 — and not just how to live beyond that number … but to do so with a high quality of life.

    A popular concept around that subject is Blue Zones – areas where people seem to live longer and healthier. There's even a Netflix documentary on the subject. Notable places include Sardinia, Italy; Okinawa, Japan; and Ikaria, Greece. 

    Saul Justin Newman challenged that belief with his research, which found that extreme age records tend to come from areas with no birth certificates, rampant clerical errors, pension fraud … and even short life spans. 

    While longevity in the zones has primarily been attributed to diet, community, and genetics, Newman found that many of these claims were based on errors – or outright fraud. Instead, these regions are actually characterized by the opposite of what you would expect … low incomes, low literacy, high crime, and short lifespans. 

    To a certain extent, it makes sense. In areas where you're struggling to make ends meet … why wouldn't you commit pension fraud? In fact, in 2010, the Japanese government realized that over 80% of the people aged over 100 were actually dead. Part of what made this possible was that America bombed the halls of records in that area during the war. 

    Here's an interview with Saul Justin Newman on the subject. He's tracked over 80% of the people aged over 110 worldwide. Almost none of them have a birth certificate. Only about 10% have a death certificate. 

    What does this mean for human longevity?

    While the stories of these 110-year-olds may mostly be fake – as mentioned in my recent article – longevity is on the rise, and there are many modalities to increase your lifespan. 

     

    Longevity-expanding-quest-lifespan-futurist-speaker

     

    The goal isn't just to stay alive longer; it's to live life to its fullest for as long as possible.

    There are people living to 100, and there are plenty of people living healthily into their 70s, 80s, and 90s. 

    We're taking steps in the right direction. Technology and medicine are both evolving quickly. 

    But, like with longevity data, improvements in any space need to be met with a grain of salt. 

    If it sounds too good to be true … it generally is. Not always. But, generally. 

  • The Average NFL Player …

    When I woke up this morning, I saw that Dak Prescott, the star quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys, signed a new contract, making him the highest-paid player in NFL history. His new four-year, $240 million deal makes him the league’s first $60 million per year player. 

    If you are curious, here is a list of the highest-paid NFL players in 2024.

    Each of the 32 teams has an active roster of 53 players. That is 1,696 active roster players. Add the practice squad and account for injuries, and in a typical season, you end up with about 2,100 players per season.

    Now that the NFL Football season is officially underway, I thought it would be interesting to look at each position’s composite player.

    As you might expect, different sports have a different ratio of ethnicities, builds, and features. The same is true for different positions on a football team.  For example, you might expect more Pacific Islanders in Rugby or Asians in Badminton. You expect NBA players to be taller, swimmers to have longer arms, and football players to have more muscle. 

    Here is a visualization that shows what happens when you average the top players’ faces in various positions.

      

    Tm9zje9tigk31

    osmutiar via Reddit

    Composites are interesting.

    While you may be thinking, “This player must be unstoppable,”… statistically, he’s average.

    The “composite” NFL player would be the 848th-best player in the league. He’s not a starter, and he plays on an average team. 

    We found the same thing with our trading bots. The ones that made it through most filters weren’t star performers. They were the average bots that did enough not to fail (but failed to make the list as top performers in any of the categories). The survivors were generalists, not specialists.

    In reality, you need both.

    In an ideal world with no roster limits, you’d want the perfect lineup for each granular situation. You’d want to evaluate players on how they perform under pressure, on different downs, against other players, and with various schemes. 

    On a related but slightly different note, I recently read a post called “Why Generalists Own the Future.” It says that, in the age of AI, it’s better to know a little about a lot than a lot about a little. But part of that rationale is that it is easy to find or create digital specialists to do the things people used to do.

    That’s what technology lets you do with algorithms. You can have a library of systems that communicate with each other … and you don’t even have to pay their salary (but you will need data scientists, researchers, machines, data, alternative data, electricity, disaster recovery, and a testing platform).

    You won’t find exceptional specialists if your focus is on generalized safety. Generalists are great, but you also have to be able to respond to specific conditions.

    How ‘Bout Them Cowboys!

  • Some Perspective: “I’m Way Closer To Lebron Than You Are To Me!”

    With the NFL starting its regular season this week, I was thinking about the talent and effort it takes to compete as a professional athlete.

    Take a second to reflect on the journey required to become a pro. In general, the top players from a youth league became standouts in high school and then were star players in college before eventually making it to a professional team. But here's the kicker … in any other context, they're elite, but unless they're superstars in the NFL, they're considered average or worse. Think about it. By definition, half of the players are below average. 

    Meanwhile, I recently came across an example from the NBA that illustrates this concept in a funny but profound way.

    There's a relatively famous quote from NBA journeyman, Brian Scalabrine, who said: 

    "I'm way closer to Lebron (James) than you are to me!" – Brian Scalabrine

    For context, as a USC Trojans men's basketball player, Scalabrine was the top scorer and a leader in field goals and rebounds. He then played 11 years in the NBA … but at no point in that time was he a star. He didn't put up great (or even good) stats, he wasn't a household name (though he did pick up the nickname "White Mamba"), and he is nowhere near the caliber of player that Lebron James is. In fact, throughout his career, he averaged just 3.1 points, 2.0 rebounds, and .8 assists a game. But, remember, he was good enough to play at a pro level for 11 years.

    Brian-scalabrine-lebron-james

    As a result, many unprofessional (weekend warrior) athletes thought he was an easy target. One day, Brian was playing a rec league game where he dropped 60 points. He tweeted about it, and a bunch of people started tweeting back to the now 40+ years old former NBA player that they could beat him. There are funny YouTube videos about this.

    Brian responded by replying:

    "Listen. I may suck for an NBA player. Those guys are pretty good. But I don't suck compared to you. You suck compared to me." – Brian Scalabrine

    He then accepted their challenge by asking them to send in videos of their play and committed that he would go 1-on-1 against the best of them.

    Scalabrine then went on to play 4 of the best players who responded, with one of them having NCAA D1 experience.

    The end result?

    He outscored them 44-6 – with two of the players scoring 0 points. 

     

    via YouTube

    It should be self-explanatory, but it seems to be a concept many people struggle with. Any given pro player has been the best of the best throughout their journey. They're the 1% of the 1%. 

    But that is probably true for you too. If you're reading this article, you're likely killing it compared to the average Joe. 

    Many of us are in rooms with phenomenal business owners and operators. When you meet people like Peter Diamandis, Ray Dalio, or Richard Branson, it's easy to focus on the distance between you and them.

    Recognize that it is still a huge accomplishment to be a Brian Scalabrine rather than a Joe Schmo. 

    They don't recognize what you and me do recognize. When you're in the NBA, there's all kinds of tells, right? Like if a guy puts his hand like that, you know what he's gonna do. If a guy does a hesitation, you know what he's gonna do. All that stuff is like in real time in the NBA, you got to be so on top of the reads. It's not speed. You can't look at me and say my brain is slow. My brain is fast. My body might be slow, but I have to read whether a guy's gonna shoot, drive, go to the middle, pass. If you're not reading those things, you're not playing in the NBA. – Brian Scalabrine

    A helpful reminder.

    Keep it up – and as always … Onwards!

  • Examining Life Expectancy & Longevity

    Life expectancy has been on a steady global rise for longer than I've been alive. 

    Screenshot 2024-08-24 at 9.40.59 PM

    via worldometers

    Meanwhile … the United States has fallen to 48th on the list of countries with the highest life expectancy.

    Hong Kong tops the list with an average life expectancy of 85.63 overall – and 88.26 years for females. 

    For comparison, the U.S.'s average life expectancy is only 79.46.

    Many factors potentially impact the findings, for example, the average height and weight of a population (with shorter & lighter people tending to live longer), diet, healthcare system, and work/life balance. 

    While some of this is out of your control (OK, a lot of it is) – there are definitely things you can do to increase your healthy lifespan. Meanwhile, some people like Bryan Johnson are doing everything they can to live forever. 

    Popular Mechanics put together a video series called How to Live Forever, or Die Trying, where they interview scientists and anti-aging gurus to give you insight into pursuing a future without death. 

    Unfortunately, recent science has shown that adults in their mid-40s to early 60s begin to experience significant changes in their alcohol, caffeine, and lipid metabolism, an increase in risk of cardiovascular disease, and a noticeable decrease in their skin and muscle health. When you hit your 60s, you also begin to see negative changes in carbohydrate metabolism, immune regulation, kidney function, and a further decline in the previously mentioned factors. 

    Immortality

    Here's the good news. Not only is science and technology getting better, but you're always in control. You can make lifestyle changes to increase your longevity, and you can also find supplements, treatments, and protocols that can reverse those factors of aging. Even simple measures like increasing your physical activity or avoiding alcohol before bed can make a massive difference. 

    They say a healthy person has thousands of dreams, but an unhealthy person only has one.

    That is one of the reasons I spend so much time and energy thinking about staying healthy, fit, and vital.

    Focusing on the positive is important … But to extend your healthy lifespan, you have to start by telling the truth and finding out what you and your body struggle with the most.

    A doctor friend gave me some advice. He said it doesn't matter if you are on top of 9 out of 10 things … it's the 10th that kills you.

    Despite our best efforts, Mother Nature remains undefeated.

    With that said, here are some of my previous articles on longevity and health: 

    The goal isn't just to stay alive longer; it's to live life to its fullest for as long as possible.

    I recently joined a fantastic mastermind group called DaVinci 50, run by Lisa and Richard Rossi. It brings together a remarkable collection of medical professionals and entrepreneurs focused on the latest research, treatments, and opportunities in health and longevity.

    Another great tool I rely on is Advanced Body Scan. Early detection is crucial, but so is tracking the history of your scans to monitor changes over time. In my opinion, the most valuable scan is always the next one.

    Additionally, I use a growing list of trackers and biometric devices to measure my heart rate, along with apps and tools for mindfulness, breathwork, and journaling. Together, these practices recognize that mind, body, and spirit combine to define how you live your life.

    To end this post, I'll use a farewell phrase I heard often while growing up … it translates roughly to "go in health, come in health, and be healthy." It's a beautiful way to wish someone well on their journey, emphasizing the importance of health and well-being.

    I hope you found something interesting.  Let me know what things and practices work best for you.

  • The Most Hyped Technologies of the 00s

    The Gartner Group’s Hype Cycle research provides the raw material for some of my favorite posts every year.

    It is a graphical and conceptual presentation used to represent the maturity, adoption, and social application of popular technologies.

    Here is a link to a Gartner research note on understanding Hype Cycles.

    I’ve found that they are an excellent source of well-researched tech and business analysis. As another example, here is a video of their Top Ten Tech Trends for 2024.

     

    via YouTube

    Humans are famously bad at predicting the future of technologies. We tend to overestimate technology’s abilities in the near term and massively underestimate what it can do in the long term.

    The shape of that curve has come to be known as the Gartner Hype Cycle, and the five stages of that curve are important for any entrepreneur or investor to understand.

    20240818 Gartner's Hype Cyclevia Gartner

    In general, as technology advances, it is human nature to get excited about the possibilities and disappointed when those expectations aren’t met. 

    At its core, the Hype Cycle tells us where we are in the product’s timeline and how long it will likely take the technology to hit maturity. It attempts to tell us which technologies will survive the hype and have the potential to become a part of our daily lives. 

    Gartner’s Hype Cycle Report is a considered analysis of market excitement, maturity, and the benefit of various technologies. It aggregates data and distills more than 2,000 technologies into a succinct and contextually understandable snapshot of where various emerging technologies sit in their hype cycle.

    Here are the five regions of Gartner’s Hype Cycle framework:

    1. Innovation Trigger (potential technology breakthrough kicks off),
    2. Peak of Inflated Expectations (Success stories through early publicity),
    3. Trough of Disillusionment (waning interest),
    4. Slope of Enlightenment (2nd & 3rd generation products appear), and
    5. Plateau of Productivity (Mainstream adoption starts). 

    Understanding this hype cycle framework enables you to ask important questions like “How will these technologies impact my business?” and “Which technologies can I trust to stay relevant in 5 years?

    If you are curious, here is Perplexity’s explanation of Gartner’s Hype Cycle and related research

    Another methodology uses frequency analysis to identify the “most hyped” concepts and technologies.  

    VisualCapitalist recently put together an infographic highlighting the most hyped technologies of each year. They call it the “Peak of Inflated Expectations”.

     Screen Shot 2020-01-17 at 4.03.00 PM 2

    (Click To See Full Infographic) via VisualCapitalist

    Here’s a Summary of the most hyped technologies, by year, since 2000.

    • 2000 – Wireless Web, ASPs, Bluetooth
    • 2001 – Web Services, Enterprise IM, m-Commerce
    • 2002 – Biometrics, Grid Computing
    • 2003 – Process Portals
    • 2004 – Micro Portals, Virtual Content Repositories
    • 2005 – P2P VOIP, Biometric ID Documents, BPM Suites
    • 2006 – Mashup, Web 2.0 
    • 2007 – Legal P2P, Digital Video Broadcasting
    • 2008 – Green IT
    • 2009 – Cloud Computing, e-Book Readers, Social Software Suites
    • 2010 – 4G Standard, Activity Streams
    • 2011 – Internet TV, NFC Payment, Augmented Reality
    • 2012 – BYOD, 3D Printing, Complex Event Processing
    • 2013 – Big Data, Gamification, Wearable User Interfaces
    • 2014 – IoT, Natural-Language Question Answering, Cryptocurrencies
    • 2015 – Speech-To-Speech Translation, Advanced Analytics, Autonomous Vehicles
    • 2016 – Blockchain, Cognitive Expert Advisors, Machine Learning
    • 2017 – Virtual Assistants, Connected Home, Deep Learning
    • 2018 – Biochips, Digital Twin, Deep Neural Networks
    • 2019* – 5G, AI PaaS, Graph Analytics
      *Missing from the infographic, but updated by Gartner

    As we take our smartphones for granted, it’s hard to imagine Bluetooth, wireless web, or e-book readers as emerging technologies at this point – but at one point in time, the lightbulb was an emerging technology. 

    It’s also interesting to look at which technologies peaked in a hype cycle … and which now popular technologies no longer appear on this list. For example, despite Virtual Reality being around since the 80s, I still expected to see it on this list. 

    Cryptocurrencies, “smart homes”, and several older examples are in a recession – but that doesn’t mean they won’t have resurgences. 

    As a reminder, the hype cycle and the innovation adoption cycle are often on very different time scales. It’s very possible that technologies from the early 2000s may still have their heyday. 

    What are you surprised wasn’t on the list? And, what do you think is about to get added?

    We live in interesting and exciting times!

  • Capturing Gold

    The Olympics have officially concluded.  For many, it was the ultimate display of the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat.  For others, it's a way to boast about their country's medal count.  If you're curious, here are the final medal standings.

    One of the most captivating moments occurred in the men's 100-meter sprint.  It made me reflect on how years of preparation can come down to a few thousandths of a second determining the difference between Gold, Silver, and Bronze — or virtual irrelevance.

    Last week, Noah Lyles broke a 20-year U.S. drought in the men's 100m final, winning gold with a 9.784 time.

    Lyles came into the race ranked No. 1 in the world, but he had to run his fastest time ever to win the Olympic gold medal, and he did so by the slimmest of margins — 0.005 seconds.

    In that race, Lyles achieved an average speed of 25.7 mph, and his max speed hit 27.84 mph.

    Surprisingly, Lyles didn't lead the race until the final and most important moment.  Many thought that Jamaica's Kishane Thompson had the gold … but advanced technology showed that Lyles surged ahead in the final stretch, edging Thompson out by a split second to claim victory.  Here is the photo finish.

     

    Noah Lyles

    via ESPN

    It took over half a minute (much longer than the race itself) for the judges to announce the winner – it was that close. 

    As a tech nerd, what I found most interesting about the win was the camera used to certify the win. 

    Omega, which has been the official Olympics timekeeper for decades, released a new camera that shoots 40,000 frames per second, aimed directly at the finish line.

    It reminded me of the facial recognition technology NFL teams like the Dallas Cowboys use to track – theoretically – every person who steps into a stadium.  The cameras are so good that when a crime is committed, they can completely track the perpetrator as they travel throughout the stadium.  The Cowboys' security office boasts that their camera system surpasses even the ones used by Las Vegas casinos to catch cheaters at the gaming tables.  However, it seems like Omega has taken things to a whole new level at the Olympics with its advanced camera technology this year.

    Many think the 200m race is Lyles' specialty.  His personal best of 19.31 seconds in the 200m is the American record, making him the third fastest in the event.

    Unfortunately, Lyles couldn't grasp gold in the 200.  He got Bronze instead.  However, after the race, he revealed that he ran the race with COVID … which might explain his drop in performance.  Still, it stands as a testament of will to me.

    As a side note, while the International Olympic Committee does not pay athletes for winning at the Olympics, many countries do!

     

    Howmuchforthegold

    via Voronai

    While the U.S. isn't near the top of the list – American athletes who get gold bring home $37,500.  A silver nets you $22,500, and a bronze nets you $15,000. 

    Of course, these medals can also lead to other compensation and endorsements – but the payout table was still interesting.

    The achievements of athletes like Noah Lyles create national pride and open doors to numerous opportunities and rewards.

    Meanwhile, the integration of advanced technology in the Olympics highlights the importance of innovation in sports.  As we celebrate these victories, we also look forward to the future advancements that will continue to shape the world of athletics and the world itself.

  • Thoughts From a Birthday Weekend

    I had a birthday this weekend.

    I can’t believe how time flies.  Birthdays seem to come more quickly as you get older.

    It makes sense, though, I suppose.  When you were four, a birthday represented a quarter of your life.  Now, a year represents a much smaller percentage.

    While it’s not always pleasant getting older, it sure beats the alternative.

    This year, I made a concerted effort to make strides toward being healthier, fit, and vital in mind, body, and spirit. 

    If you are going to live longer, your future has to be compelling.  I always strive to make my future bigger than my past.  

    This year, my birthday came after a string of long and hard days.  So, it was especially nice to take some time to relax and reflect.

    In general, I work hard, but smart.  I don’t often get anxious.  I just relentlessly pursue my goals.  It is a recipe that works for me.

    Resilience and determination are certainly worth celebrating … but they aren’t the only strategies worth pursuing. 

    I recognize that energy is important too – It is the fuel for doing and becoming.  You can get some from doing well … but sometimes you need to get some from doing less or controlling your focus.  

    As a result, this weekend, I focused on rest and recovery (with a nice dose of appreciation, gratitude, and reflection about friends and family who share the journey with me). 

    Flow State

    On one hand, I’m proud of myself for doing what I’m supposed to do – finding ways to gain traction and momentum, letting small wins today set up bigger wins tomorrow, and laying the groundwork for the next level of future success.  But I’m also reminded that when you’re in flow, the biggest outcomes don’t seem to require the biggest effort.  Instead, achieving great results can feel surprisingly easy and natural.  It’s as if when things click into place, success becomes almost effortless.  This is a powerful reminder that sometimes, it’s not about pushing harder but finding that sweet spot where your skills and passions align, and a small shift can have a big impact.

    Mindset Matters … And So Do Habits!

    It’s crucial to take a day to relax and celebrate after a challenging and significant stretch.

    I also feel it is important to make the time and effort to feel things like “Happy Birthday!” 🎂

    I have a birthday ritual.  We go to Ruth’s Chris Steakhouse and celebrate there.  It’s interesting because it’s become a location-and-event-based trigger reminding me to celebrate.  Even the act of reserving this restaurant for a special occasion creates a powerful association that starts the celebration process.

    IMG_3706

    Even though I really like the restaurant, I don’t go there for everyday dinners.  I reserve it for celebrations so that it stays “pure” and “special” in my mind.  It’s the same reason you’re not supposed to lounge around all day or work in bed – your body forgets that the bed is meant for sleep. 

    I use other location and activity triggers as well.  Think about where they might help you?  For example, walking in from the garage to your home, or into your bedroom.  You could also trigger a particular response when you hold your partner's hand or kiss them goodbye.  There are many places where you can apply this technique.

    If you think about it, we don’t necessarily “have” emotions – we “do” them.  It’s the same with celebration.  It’s both a noun and a verb.  It’s something in and of itself, but it also is something you do.  In a sense, “having” and “doing” go together and feed off each other to create more of what you want.

    What Are Your Rituals and Traditions?

    The connection you make between a ritual and the emotions you want is powerful and can help you fully immerse yourself in the feelings you desire.

    Recognize that you can create what you want rather than searching for it, chasing it, or waiting for it to happen.  This perspective can produce profound insights.

    What are some things that are also actions for you … with having and doing being intertwined and reinforcing each other to create more of what you desire?

    It’s a reminder to be intentional about creating and maintaining rituals, traditions, and habits that foster joy, appreciation, and a sense of accomplishment.

    May your days be filled with joy and fulfillment, and may the coming year bring you many reasons to celebrate! 🎉

  • The Power Of Assessments

    Over the years, I've used a number of different assessment tests on myself and our team. It's a great way to help people better understand each other and the various forms of communication and problem-solving styles we use.

    Here are several of the tests that have proven themselves time and again:

    1. Kolbe measures how individuals naturally approach problem-solving and execute tasks when free to be themselves.
    2. Predictive Index (PI) – helps organizations make data-driven, objective hiring decisions by providing insights into a candidate's personality traits and cognitive abilities in relation to their perceived role.
    3. StrengthsFinder: helps people discover their natural talents and develop them into strengths they can leverage for personal and professional success.

    On top of these, it's always fun to see what else is available and how it might provide new and useful insights. 

    For example, Ray Dalio recently created a personality assessment called PrinciplesYou that you can take for free. This tool breaks down personality traits into three areas: how you think, engage with others, and apply yourself. I've seen several articles praising PriciplesYou and its insights.

    Less meaningful, perhaps (but still fun), I also found a website called Human Benchmark that lets you test your performance on various reaction and memory tests. I'm unsure how scientific it is, but it was an interesting use of 10 minutes nonetheless. Here are my son's results from that one.

    Image-2via Human Benchmark

    Progress starts by telling the truth … most often to yourself.  

    What assessments have you found particularly helpful?