Business

  • More Ways to Visualize Big Numbers, Like a Trillion

    Back in the 1960s, Illinois Senator Everett Dirksen famously quipped, "A billion here, a billion there — pretty soon, you're talking real money."

    To get a sense of how Trillions currently are discussed in Congress, watch this.

    How quaint … Recently, Trillion has become the new billion; especially when we're talking about government debt, government budget, and the budget deficit.

    So, let's put a "Trillion" in better context.

    What follows are a few creative ways to look at the U.S. government budget and what's happening to our national debt.

    1. The U.S. Government Budget Compared to an American Household

    This has been making the rounds.  I saw several copies on social media sites, and it puts things in a format most of us can understand easily.

     

     120205 US Budget Compared to Household Budget

     

    I'm not sure of its source, but you can also see a version of it in this video showing CNBC correspondent, Rick Santelli, explaining the government budget and the budget deficit.

    2. U.S. Government Debt Illustrated in Pictures

    The national debt clock continues ticking.

    Here is what the $15 trillion U.S. debt looks like when it is piled up in stacks of $100 bills.

    Do you see the the tiny-in-comparison tractor trailer?  Squint, and you can see the barely visible human in front of it.

    120205 US Debt Compared Football Fields and Statue of Liberty 

     Well, that put things in perspective.

     

    So does this video.

     

     

     

    You don't need the national debt clock to get a sense how big the deficit is becoming, or how hard it is to start reducing it meaningfully.

    3. Or If You Just Like Simple Math…

    The circumference of the earth is 24,738 miles.

    If laid $15 trillion one-dollar bills end-to-end, it would be 1,444,000,000 miles long … Enough to circle the earth's equator 58,390.5 times.

    If you were to drive around the earth in your car 58,390.5 times at an average speed of 70 mph non-stop, it would take you 2,385 years to finish.

    Click here for some other facts about "a trillion" … or here too.

    So What Does it All Mean?

    These are some big numbers. But as Nicholas Vardy points out, the focus on U.S. debt ignores once crucial factor — the value of the balance sheet or accumulated wealth of the United States. That figure probably stands between $150 trillion and $200 trillion. That amount is 10- to 13-times the size of the current U.S. government debt.

    In other words, the U.S. is not going to the poor-house anytime soon.  But the trends are sobering, nonetheless.

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  • Here Are Some Interesting Links for Your Sunday Reading

    While traveling last week, I logged on to Facebook and found this gem from a friend.

    Between What I think, What I want to say, What I think I said, What I have really said, What you want to hear, What you think you hear, What you really hear, What you want to understand, and Understanding, there are 9 ways to be misunderstood.

    Well said; but still not sure I understand …

     

    120129 State of the Union - JD Crowe Political Cartoon

     

    Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

    Lighter Links:

     

    Trading Links:

  • Here Are Some Interesting Links for Your Sunday Reading

    While traveling last week, I logged on to Facebook and found this gem from a friend.

    Between What I think, What I want to say, What I think I said, What I have really said, What you want to hear, What you think you hear, What you really hear, What you want to understand, and Understanding, there are 9 ways to be misunderstood.

    Well said; but still not sure I understand …

     

    120129 State of the Union - JD Crowe Political Cartoon

     

    Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

    Lighter Links:

     

    Trading Links:

  • Explaining Modern Finance and Economics Using Booze & Broke Alcoholics

    Here is little story that makes it easy to understand what's been going wrong in Europe (and perhaps modern finance in general). 

    From reszatonline

    Helga is the proprietor of a bar.

    She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her bar.

    Drunk-main

    To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. 

    Helga keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers’ loans).

    Word gets around about Helga’s “drink now, pay later” marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Helga’s bar. Soon, she has the largest sales volume for any bar in town.

    By providing her customers freedom from immediate payment demands, Helga gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Helga’s gross sales volume increases massively.

    Ahh, an opportunity.

    A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Helga’s borrowing limit.

    He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts (of the unemployed alcoholics) as collateral!!!

    At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS.These “securities” then are bundled and traded on international securities markets.

    Naive investors don’t really understand that the securities being sold to them as “AA” “Secured Bonds” really are debts of unemployed alcoholics.

    Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb! And the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses.

    Perhaps this isn't a great idea?

    One day, even though the bond prices still are climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Helga’s bar.

    He so informs Helga.

    Helga then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons.

    However, her clients, being unemployed alcoholics, cannot pay back their drinking debts.

    Since Helga cannot fulfill her loan obligations, she is forced into bankruptcy.

    The bar closes, and Helga’s 11 employees lose their jobs.

    Overnight, DRINKBOND prices drop by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the bank’s liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

    The fall-out?

    The suppliers of Helga’s bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms’ pension funds in the BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds.

    Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

    Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multibillion dollar no-strings attached cash infusion from the government.

    The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who have never been in Helga’s bar.

    Feel like having a drink?

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  • Explaining Modern Finance and Economics Using Booze & Broke Alcoholics

    Here is little story that makes it easy to understand what's been going wrong in Europe (and perhaps modern finance in general). 

    From reszatonline

    Helga is the proprietor of a bar.

    She realizes that virtually all of her customers are unemployed alcoholics and, as such, can no longer afford to patronize her bar.

    Drunk-main

    To solve this problem, she comes up with a new marketing plan that allows her customers to drink now, but pay later. 

    Helga keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers’ loans).

    Word gets around about Helga’s “drink now, pay later” marketing strategy and, as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Helga’s bar. Soon, she has the largest sales volume for any bar in town.

    By providing her customers freedom from immediate payment demands, Helga gets no resistance when, at regular intervals, she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Consequently, Helga’s gross sales volume increases massively.

    Ahh, an opportunity.

    A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes that these customer debts constitute valuable future assets and increases Helga’s borrowing limit.

    He sees no reason for any undue concern, since he has the debts (of the unemployed alcoholics) as collateral!!!

    At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders figure a way to make huge commissions, and transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS.These “securities” then are bundled and traded on international securities markets.

    Naive investors don’t really understand that the securities being sold to them as “AA” “Secured Bonds” really are debts of unemployed alcoholics.

    Nevertheless, the bond prices continuously climb! And the securities soon become the hottest-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses.

    Perhaps this isn't a great idea?

    One day, even though the bond prices still are climbing, a risk manager at the original local bank decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Helga’s bar.

    He so informs Helga.

    Helga then demands payment from her alcoholic patrons.

    However, her clients, being unemployed alcoholics, cannot pay back their drinking debts.

    Since Helga cannot fulfill her loan obligations, she is forced into bankruptcy.

    The bar closes, and Helga’s 11 employees lose their jobs.

    Overnight, DRINKBOND prices drop by 90%. The collapsed bond asset value destroys the bank’s liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans, thus freezing credit and economic activity in the community.

    The fall-out?

    The suppliers of Helga’s bar had granted her generous payment extensions and had invested their firms’ pension funds in the BOND securities. They find they are now faced with having to write off her bad debt and with losing over 90% of the presumed value of the bonds.

    Her wine supplier also claims bankruptcy, closing the doors on a family business that had endured for three generations, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 150 workers.

    Fortunately though, the bank, the brokerage houses and their respective executives are saved and bailed out by a multibillion dollar no-strings attached cash infusion from the government.

    The funds required for this bailout are obtained by new taxes levied on employed, middle-class, non-drinkers who have never been in Helga’s bar.

    Feel like having a drink?

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  • Some Interesting Links for Your Weekend Reading

    Big News: The Twinkie is Dead.

     

    120116 The End of the Twinkie Era

     

     

    The Mayans may have been right; the world might be ending.

    Here are some of the posts that caught my eye. Hope you find something interesting.

    Lighter Links:

     

    Trading Links:

  • The Two-Hour House [Time-Lapse Video]

    Is it possible to build a house in only two hours?

    Proving that nothing is impossible if you commit to it, the 2-Hour House chronicles an East Texas builder’s quest to overcome the odds, and accomplish what was perceived to be the impossible task of building a 2,249 square foot house, from the ground up, in less than three hours.

    To do so, they would have to pour a concrete slab that hardened in only 22 minutes and paint the house in the same time it takes to brush your teeth.

    Plans called for a traditional home that met or exceeded code at every turn. It took two years of planning, 1,000 volunteers from every trade and more than a little luck to pull it off.

    Here is a time-lapse video of the construction.

     

     

     

    What this team learned about life, leadership and the persistence of the human spirit will motivate you to transform your own life, work and home from the ground up.

    Records and "Rules" broken with the 2Hour House process:

    The rules say : 2 Hour House
    • It takes a day to set the forms, dig footings and set steel. 8 min
    • It takes a half a day to rough-in the plumbing.   7min
    • It takes a day to pour and finish concrete. 40min
    • It takes several hours to pop the lines before setting walls. 10min
    • It takes at least a day to frame the walls. 15min
    • It takes a day to rough-in the electrical.   15min
    • It takes a day to put in the wall plumbing.   15min
    • It takes a day to shingle the roof.   30min
    • It takes a half a day to insulate the walls and attic. 10min
    • It takes at least a day to sheetrock.   15min
    • It takes at least four days to tape, bed, and texture the walls. 20min
    • It takes two days to paint. 10min
    • It takes a half a day to install the flower beds and trees. 10min
    • It takes a day to do the final grade.   10min
    • It takes a day to lay the grass.   10min
    • It takes a day to set the kitchen cabinets.   15min
    • It takes a day to set the bathroom cabinets.   10min
    • It takes a day to install the heating and cooling. 10min
    • It takes a day to do the interior doors and base boards. 15min
    • It takes a half a day to install the garage door. 3min
    • It takes a half a day to put in the countertops. 10min

     

    What would it take to shift your mindset from ordinary to extraordinary? And which constraints can you re-evaluate and eliminate?

    What Does The 2-Hour House Teach?

    Think of the innovation, creative thinking, and break-thru communication and collaboration strategies needed to pull-this-off.  What about leadership, team-building, and management expectations? 

    Try to imagine what type of project management process this would require? 

    Here is a link to videos that provide more information.

     

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  • The Two-Hour House [Time-Lapse Video]

    Is it possible to build a house in only two hours?

    Proving that nothing is impossible if you commit to it, the 2-Hour House chronicles an East Texas builder’s quest to overcome the odds, and accomplish what was perceived to be the impossible task of building a 2,249 square foot house, from the ground up, in less than three hours.

    To do so, they would have to pour a concrete slab that hardened in only 22 minutes and paint the house in the same time it takes to brush your teeth.

    Plans called for a traditional home that met or exceeded code at every turn. It took two years of planning, 1,000 volunteers from every trade and more than a little luck to pull it off.

    Here is a time-lapse video of the construction.

     

     

     

    What this team learned about life, leadership and the persistence of the human spirit will motivate you to transform your own life, work and home from the ground up.

    Records and "Rules" broken with the 2Hour House process:

    The rules say : 2 Hour House
    • It takes a day to set the forms, dig footings and set steel. 8 min
    • It takes a half a day to rough-in the plumbing.   7min
    • It takes a day to pour and finish concrete. 40min
    • It takes several hours to pop the lines before setting walls. 10min
    • It takes at least a day to frame the walls. 15min
    • It takes a day to rough-in the electrical.   15min
    • It takes a day to put in the wall plumbing.   15min
    • It takes a day to shingle the roof.   30min
    • It takes a half a day to insulate the walls and attic. 10min
    • It takes at least a day to sheetrock.   15min
    • It takes at least four days to tape, bed, and texture the walls. 20min
    • It takes two days to paint. 10min
    • It takes a half a day to install the flower beds and trees. 10min
    • It takes a day to do the final grade.   10min
    • It takes a day to lay the grass.   10min
    • It takes a day to set the kitchen cabinets.   15min
    • It takes a day to set the bathroom cabinets.   10min
    • It takes a day to install the heating and cooling. 10min
    • It takes a day to do the interior doors and base boards. 15min
    • It takes a half a day to install the garage door. 3min
    • It takes a half a day to put in the countertops. 10min

     

    What would it take to shift your mindset from ordinary to extraordinary? And which constraints can you re-evaluate and eliminate?

    What Does The 2-Hour House Teach?

    Think of the innovation, creative thinking, and break-thru communication and collaboration strategies needed to pull-this-off.  What about leadership, team-building, and management expectations? 

    Try to imagine what type of project management process this would require? 

    Here is a link to videos that provide more information.

     

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