Thoughts about the markets, automated trading algorithms, artificial intelligence, and lots of other stuff

  • Luck is Pretty Good Too

    Luck is underrated. Here is a fun video montage where the hand of fate wasn't so fickle.

    Here is a direct link to the YouTube video.

    What you focus on determines your life.  It has been said many times, in many ways.

    It is easy to focus on what is wrong, what is missing, or what you want to change.  On the other hand, it probably serves us better to feel confident, grateful and loved.  So as we begin 2009, think of how many things went right, how much opportunity is in front of you … and how even "terrible things" serve to put you back on the right track or start on a better path.

    Best wishes for a happy, healthy and prosperous New Year.

  • Luck is Pretty Good Too

    Luck is underrated. Here is a fun video montage where the hand of fate wasn't so fickle.

    Here is a direct link to the YouTube video.

    What you focus on determines your life.  It has been said many times, in many ways.

    It is easy to focus on what is wrong, what is missing, or what you want to change.  On the other hand, it probably serves us better to feel confident, grateful and loved.  So as we begin 2009, think of how many things went right, how much opportunity is in front of you … and how even "terrible things" serve to put you back on the right track or start on a better path.

    Best wishes for a happy, healthy and prosperous New Year.

  • Photology – A New Way To Find What You’re Looking For

    Overwhelmed by too many photos?  Too busy to sort and tag them?  Try this.

    Photology helps you navigate the flood of digital photos on your computer by finding photos using simple and intuitive filters like faces, sky, color, location, and time of day … automatically.

    081226 Photology Picture Finder

    Can't find the photo of you in that pink silk jacket from the 4th of July party on the beach a few years ago? No problem, even with seemingly endless folders of random photos.  You know the expression, "finding a needle in a haystack," right? Thanks to Photology, haystacks of photos will get a lot smaller, making it much easier to find the "needle" you're looking for – even if that needle is an a pink jacket.

    How do you do it?  Well, like this.

    First stop questioning why you own a pink silk jacket.  Then start remembering what you can.  It was a few years ago (probably 2006).  The photo was of faces.  It was outside.  You were wearing pink.  And It was sunset. 

    Photology Search Made Easay

    You can also combine, mix, and match any or all of these tidbits from your memory to find your photo.  It is fast, fun, and very easy to use.

    Try it yourself with this online demo.  After the demo launches, try the filter options on the left.

    I paid this software – and it was worth it.  Now it is free; an even better value proposition.  I'm still going to use Photoshop Elements for the heavier lifting … Still, Photology has its place in the toolbox.

    So click here to download the software.

  • Photology – A New Way To Find What You’re Looking For

    Overwhelmed by too many photos?  Too busy to sort and tag them?  Try this.

    Photology helps you navigate the flood of digital photos on your computer by finding photos using simple and intuitive filters like faces, sky, color, location, and time of day … automatically.

    081226 Photology Picture Finder

    Can't find the photo of you in that pink silk jacket from the 4th of July party on the beach a few years ago? No problem, even with seemingly endless folders of random photos.  You know the expression, "finding a needle in a haystack," right? Thanks to Photology, haystacks of photos will get a lot smaller, making it much easier to find the "needle" you're looking for – even if that needle is an a pink jacket.

    How do you do it?  Well, like this.

    First stop questioning why you own a pink silk jacket.  Then start remembering what you can.  It was a few years ago (probably 2006).  The photo was of faces.  It was outside.  You were wearing pink.  And It was sunset. 

    Photology Search Made Easay

    You can also combine, mix, and match any or all of these tidbits from your memory to find your photo.  It is fast, fun, and very easy to use.

    Try it yourself with this online demo.  After the demo launches, try the filter options on the left.

    I paid this software – and it was worth it.  Now it is free; an even better value proposition.  I'm still going to use Photoshop Elements for the heavier lifting … Still, Photology has its place in the toolbox.

    So click here to download the software.

  • Happy Holiday Season Wishes

    I put together a short photo album and holiday card.  I hope you'll click this to watch.

    Click to play 2008 Getson Photo Album
    Create your own photobook - Powered by Smilebox
    Make a Smilebox photobook

    Best wishes for a happy holiday season and a terrific 2009.

  • Happy Holiday Season Wishes

    I put together a short photo album and holiday card.  I hope you'll click this to watch.

    Click to play 2008 Getson Photo Album
    Create your own photobook - Powered by Smilebox
    Make a Smilebox photobook

    Best wishes for a happy holiday season and a terrific 2009.

  • This Holiday Season … Beware of the Doghouse

    Beware of the Doghouse Video 250p
    A funny reminder of what not to do this holiday season.

    When I asked what she wanted for a holiday present, my wife asked me to buy her an Apron.  Really.  She also wants a saw to cut wood, and a steam cleaner for the carpets.

    I might have been born at night. But it wasn't last night.

    Yes my wife claims to want certain things … But I've been trained better than to buy them as gifts.  I give them to her the day before … "just because". 

    Here's why.

    Direct link to YouTube video

    Also, here is their website.

    Extra: Click Here for "Things You Don't Say to Your Wife" video.

  • This Holiday Season … Beware of the Doghouse

    Beware of the Doghouse Video 250p
    A funny reminder of what not to do this holiday season.

    When I asked what she wanted for a holiday present, my wife asked me to buy her an Apron.  Really.  She also wants a saw to cut wood, and a steam cleaner for the carpets.

    I might have been born at night. But it wasn't last night.

    Yes my wife claims to want certain things … But I've been trained better than to buy them as gifts.  I give them to her the day before … "just because". 

    Here's why.

    Direct link to YouTube video

    Also, here is their website.

    Extra: Click Here for "Things You Don't Say to Your Wife" video.

  • Capitalogix Commentary on the Markets 12/19/08

    The Federal Reserve decided to drop their target Fed Funds rate to an all-time record of 0.00% to 0.25%.

    This chart, from Bill Luby's Vix and More,  highlights the daily effective federal funds rate, which is a volume-weighted average of rates on trades arranged by major brokers.  It puts things in perspective, doesn't it?

    Fed Funds Effective Rates Since 1954

    Not surprisingly, last Friday’s effective Fed Funds rate of 0.11% is a record low.  In contrast, the record high of 22.36% dates back to July 22, 1981. The average Fed Funds rate since 1954 is 5.62%.

    People Are Less Scared.

    Something else going down is the VIX, which is now down more than 50% from its highs.  The VIX looks out 30 days into the future and captures “event volatility” associated with events that are expected to occur in the next 30 days. These include Fed meetings, important economic data releases (employment report, consumer prices, retail sales, durable goods orders, GDP, etc.), earnings from bellwether stocks, even hurricanes, geopolitical crises and other events which can expect to cast a shadow over the course of the next 30 days.

    081219 VIX Down 50 Percent

    As shown above, the VIX recently broke below its November lows and is currently resting just above 40.

    The VIX typically goes up when the market goes down, but even on days when the market has declined this week, the VIX has gone down as well.  That means investors are feeling a lot less fear.

    What about the Government, though?  If they are so confident, why continue to print money?

    What's a Few Trillion Among Friends?

    Since the economic-stimulus package in February, the government has offered more than a dozen multibillion-dollar rescue packages for a variety of industries endangered by the financial chaos and the recession. The magnitude of even one of these mega-bailouts is hard enough to grasp. The following Slate visualization attempts to put the magnitude of these rescue packages in perspective.

    081219 Slate's Interactive Bailout Guide

    Here are a few other items that caught my eye this week.

    • Is it a Bail-Out or Smart Economics? (Dash of Insight)
    • Sy Harding Argues that Government Responses Will Limit Recession. (Financial Sense)
    • Money flow up sharply as S&P holds 50-day Moving Average. (Fallond)
    • Biggest 6-Day Decline Ever for the Dollar. (Bespoke)
  • Capitalogix Commentary on the Markets 12/19/08

    The Federal Reserve decided to drop their target Fed Funds rate to an all-time record of 0.00% to 0.25%.

    This chart, from Bill Luby's Vix and More,  highlights the daily effective federal funds rate, which is a volume-weighted average of rates on trades arranged by major brokers.  It puts things in perspective, doesn't it?

    Fed Funds Effective Rates Since 1954

    Not surprisingly, last Friday’s effective Fed Funds rate of 0.11% is a record low.  In contrast, the record high of 22.36% dates back to July 22, 1981. The average Fed Funds rate since 1954 is 5.62%.

    People Are Less Scared.

    Something else going down is the VIX, which is now down more than 50% from its highs.  The VIX looks out 30 days into the future and captures “event volatility” associated with events that are expected to occur in the next 30 days. These include Fed meetings, important economic data releases (employment report, consumer prices, retail sales, durable goods orders, GDP, etc.), earnings from bellwether stocks, even hurricanes, geopolitical crises and other events which can expect to cast a shadow over the course of the next 30 days.

    081219 VIX Down 50 Percent

    As shown above, the VIX recently broke below its November lows and is currently resting just above 40.

    The VIX typically goes up when the market goes down, but even on days when the market has declined this week, the VIX has gone down as well.  That means investors are feeling a lot less fear.

    What about the Government, though?  If they are so confident, why continue to print money?

    What's a Few Trillion Among Friends?

    Since the economic-stimulus package in February, the government has offered more than a dozen multibillion-dollar rescue packages for a variety of industries endangered by the financial chaos and the recession. The magnitude of even one of these mega-bailouts is hard enough to grasp. The following Slate visualization attempts to put the magnitude of these rescue packages in perspective.

    081219 Slate's Interactive Bailout Guide

    Here are a few other items that caught my eye this week.

    • Is it a Bail-Out or Smart Economics? (Dash of Insight)
    • Sy Harding Argues that Government Responses Will Limit Recession. (Financial Sense)
    • Money flow up sharply as S&P holds 50-day Moving Average. (Fallond)
    • Biggest 6-Day Decline Ever for the Dollar. (Bespoke)