Thoughts about the markets, automated trading algorithms, artificial intelligence, and lots of other stuff

  • Gold Has Been Glittering, But Silver Has Had a Stronger Move

    Gold continues to receive the headlines, yet silver is really moving.

    Bespoke posted a chart that highlights how remarkable silver's run has been.

     

    110424 Silver Gold and the SPX

    Had you invested $100 in silver ten years ago today, your investment would now be worth $1,037.  A $100 investment in gold would be worth about half that at $569, and a $100 investment in the stock market (S&P 500) would be worth just $107.48.

    Here is what Jim Rogers thinks about silver's move.

     

     

     

    For more on that, here is a link to an article where he reminds that parabolic moves always collapse.

     

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  • Do You Get Too Much E-Mail? Here’s How to Handle it.

    Am4-boxbanner Auto-Mate is a Microsoft Outlook add-in that automatically organizes your inbox and other mail folders. It  makes it easy for you to focus on the items that are important or related to a topic you choose.

    Do you get too much e-mail?

    I'm amazed at the volume of information that passes through my inbox. It's a challenge to figure out what's important, what's relevant, and what deserves time and attention.

    That's where Auto-Mate shines. It watches your message traffic and takes action based on the rules and filters you've enabled.  Pergenex ships Auto-Mate with many pre-built tools and templates. In addition, it's easy to customize based on the way that you work and use mail. For example, it will automatically create folders for any contact that you have corresponded with, or it can put your mail into folders based on years and months.

    Personally, I use a different organization structure than that.  I prefer to sort items based on topics. So, I have a categories for business, hedge funds, family, internal company matters, etc.

    Here's an example of a screenshot of my folder structure. I've taken a before and after snapshot. Notice how many items are in my inbox versus the topic folders. The Auto-Mate rule engine puts things where they should be, so you can spend your time more efficiently and effectively.

     

    110423 Auto-Mate's Effect on Folders
    Why You Should Use Auto-Mate.

    Outlook comes with a pretty powerful rule engine itself. Auto-Mate extends these capabilities significantly. Some of the ways that Auto-Mate is better include the number of rules you can store and manage, the types of activities, actions, and exceptions you can use to customize your workflow. 

    Another key benefit is that Pergenex lets you take different action based on time.  That means Auto-Mate lets you run a rule on a particular message that has been in a certain folder for a certain period of time. 

    For example, I use my inbox as a point of focus … when I get an e-mail from someone important (like a direct report, key stakeholder, family member, accountant, or advisor), I want it to stay in the inbox for a period of time (so that I notice it, pay attention to it, and deal with it).  However, if it's there for over a week, then it makes sense for this program to automatically file it in the appropriate folder. That's just one example of how these rules keep your inbox as a productivity tool rather than a distraction.

    Am4-collage

    Here are some examples of what you can do with Auto-Mate.

    • You can create an unlimited number of rules and organize them how you want.
    • You can also easily to update your rules when it makes sense to do so.
    • Not only can you run rules when new mail arrives or when new mail is sent, but you can also run rules "on demand" or in the background to perform general cleanup and archiving.
    • Speaking of archiving, Auto-mate can easily reduce your mailbox storage size by extracting attachments and saving them to your hard disk or a network folder. It even leaves a link in your email messages so you can easily re-open the attachment.

     In addition, there are many features for advanced users, from auto-responders, auto-printing of certain messages, auto-compressing attachments in messages, and even executing other programs.

    Best of all, it works reliably and does great job.  All in all, this is a well-designed tool and worth a try.

    Here's a link to download a copy for yourself.

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  • Do You Get Too Much E-Mail? Here’s How to Handle it.

    Am4-boxbanner Auto-Mate is a Microsoft Outlook add-in that automatically organizes your inbox and other mail folders. It  makes it easy for you to focus on the items that are important or related to a topic you choose.

    Do you get too much e-mail?

    I'm amazed at the volume of information that passes through my inbox. It's a challenge to figure out what's important, what's relevant, and what deserves time and attention.

    That's where Auto-Mate shines. It watches your message traffic and takes action based on the rules and filters you've enabled.  Pergenex ships Auto-Mate with many pre-built tools and templates. In addition, it's easy to customize based on the way that you work and use mail. For example, it will automatically create folders for any contact that you have corresponded with, or it can put your mail into folders based on years and months.

    Personally, I use a different organization structure than that.  I prefer to sort items based on topics. So, I have a categories for business, hedge funds, family, internal company matters, etc.

    Here's an example of a screenshot of my folder structure. I've taken a before and after snapshot. Notice how many items are in my inbox versus the topic folders. The Auto-Mate rule engine puts things where they should be, so you can spend your time more efficiently and effectively.

     

    110423 Auto-Mate's Effect on Folders
    Why You Should Use Auto-Mate.

    Outlook comes with a pretty powerful rule engine itself. Auto-Mate extends these capabilities significantly. Some of the ways that Auto-Mate is better include the number of rules you can store and manage, the types of activities, actions, and exceptions you can use to customize your workflow. 

    Another key benefit is that Pergenex lets you take different action based on time.  That means Auto-Mate lets you run a rule on a particular message that has been in a certain folder for a certain period of time. 

    For example, I use my inbox as a point of focus … when I get an e-mail from someone important (like a direct report, key stakeholder, family member, accountant, or advisor), I want it to stay in the inbox for a period of time (so that I notice it, pay attention to it, and deal with it).  However, if it's there for over a week, then it makes sense for this program to automatically file it in the appropriate folder. That's just one example of how these rules keep your inbox as a productivity tool rather than a distraction.

    Am4-collage

    Here are some examples of what you can do with Auto-Mate.

    • You can create an unlimited number of rules and organize them how you want.
    • You can also easily to update your rules when it makes sense to do so.
    • Not only can you run rules when new mail arrives or when new mail is sent, but you can also run rules "on demand" or in the background to perform general cleanup and archiving.
    • Speaking of archiving, Auto-mate can easily reduce your mailbox storage size by extracting attachments and saving them to your hard disk or a network folder. It even leaves a link in your email messages so you can easily re-open the attachment.

     In addition, there are many features for advanced users, from auto-responders, auto-printing of certain messages, auto-compressing attachments in messages, and even executing other programs.

    Best of all, it works reliably and does great job.  All in all, this is a well-designed tool and worth a try.

    Here's a link to download a copy for yourself.

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  • Twin Toddlers ‘Talking’ Video – A Communication You Don’t Want to Miss

    As traders watch the market, they are looking for clues.  And when they are in-phase with what happens, they think the market speaks to them.  Is it in-depth knowledge … or nonsense?

    Here is video of twin toddlers 'talking'. Is it an in-depth conversation … or nonsense?  You be the judge.

    Video: Twin Baby Boys Have In-Depth Discussion

    Clearly … a great way to communicate.

     

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  • Here a Few Links for Your Weekend Reading Enjoyment

    Looking for something to read?  Here are some ideas.

    Business Posts Moving the Markets that I Found Interesting Recently:

    • Man vs. Machine on Wall Street – How Computers Beat the Market. (Atlantic)
    • 5 Lies That Economists Are Feeding Us. (Money)
    • If Regulation Didn't Kill IPOs … What Did?  (Fortune)
    • Don’t Believe the Chart – Is the US Dollar Dropping Like a Stone? (ZeroHedge)
    • NSA Investigating Nasdaq Hack. Was a Nation-State Involved?  (Wired)
    • More Posts Moving the Markets.

    Lighter Ideas and Fun Links that I Found Interesting Recently:

  • Here a Few Links for Your Weekend Reading Enjoyment

    Looking for something to read?  Here are some ideas.

    Business Posts Moving the Markets that I Found Interesting Recently:

    • Man vs. Machine on Wall Street – How Computers Beat the Market. (Atlantic)
    • 5 Lies That Economists Are Feeding Us. (Money)
    • If Regulation Didn't Kill IPOs … What Did?  (Fortune)
    • Don’t Believe the Chart – Is the US Dollar Dropping Like a Stone? (ZeroHedge)
    • NSA Investigating Nasdaq Hack. Was a Nation-State Involved?  (Wired)
    • More Posts Moving the Markets.

    Lighter Ideas and Fun Links that I Found Interesting Recently:

  • Some Thoughts on the Budget and Government Spending

    This graphic highlights some of what is wrong with political discourse.

     

    110417 Everything Wrong With Politcs

    So, the government avoided a shut-down.  Is that a good or bad thing? 

    Understanding the Scope of the Budget Deficit.

    What were they really fighting about?

    Philip Greenspun puts the the budget deficit into easier-to-grasp context: just divide everything by 100,000,000.

    • We have a family that is spending $38,200 per year.
    • The family’s income is $21,700 per year.
    • The family adds $16,500 in credit card debt every year in order to pay its bills.
    • After a long and difficult debate among family members, keeping in mind that it was not going to be possible to borrow $16,500 every year forever, the parents and children agreed that a $380/year premium cable subscription could be terminated.
    • So now the family will have to borrow only $16,120 per year.

    If you are a visual thinker, here is different way to look at it.

    110417 The Budget Pie Chart Cartoon by Michael-Ramirez

    Government Shutdown Averted – Fiscal Crisis Assured!

    I saw this video and thought it made some interesting points .

     

     

    For a different perpective, you can watch the introduction video released by a new political movement called the Win+Win Revolution

    We do live in interesting times.
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  • A Business Book Based On The Story of Passover

    Passover is this week, so Jewish people are once again getting ready to teach the story of Exodus to their children.  This happens during the meal featured in DaVinci's Last Supper.

    110417-DaVinci_LastSupper
    Part of the tradition is to present the information in way tailored to the audience.  For example, the wise child, the wicked child, the simple child and the child unable to ask … each perceive the story and how it relates to them differently.

    Coincidently, I just read an interesting book, written by a friend of mine, that weaves the archetypical learners in the Passover Seder into a business fable about communication and persuasion.

    110417 ROAR The book talks about how you tailor your message to those four personality types.  For example, a business might look at creating different messages for wise, cynicalsimple and disinterested buyers.

    The book's title, "ROAR!", is an acronym for the persuasion model:

    • Recognize the type;
    • Observe from their perspective;
    • Acknowledge who they are;
    • Resolve their need.

    The book also provides a strong approach to bringing empathy and differentiation into your value proposition.  This is equally important in an elevator pitch or tough conversation with a stakeholder.

    It’s pretty good stuff and something worth thinking about.  You can check out a video and a couple free chapters here.

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  • A Business Book Based On The Story of Passover

    Passover is this week, so Jewish people are once again getting ready to teach the story of Exodus to their children.  This happens during the meal featured in DaVinci's Last Supper.

    110417-DaVinci_LastSupper
    Part of the tradition is to present the information in way tailored to the audience.  For example, the wise child, the wicked child, the simple child and the child unable to ask … each perceive the story and how it relates to them differently.

    Coincidently, I just read an interesting book, written by a friend of mine, that weaves the archetypical learners in the Passover Seder into a business fable about communication and persuasion.

    110417 ROAR The book talks about how you tailor your message to those four personality types.  For example, a business might look at creating different messages for wise, cynicalsimple and disinterested buyers.

    The book's title, "ROAR!", is an acronym for the persuasion model:

    • Recognize the type;
    • Observe from their perspective;
    • Acknowledge who they are;
    • Resolve their need.

    The book also provides a strong approach to bringing empathy and differentiation into your value proposition.  This is equally important in an elevator pitch or tough conversation with a stakeholder.

    It’s pretty good stuff and something worth thinking about.  You can check out a video and a couple free chapters here.

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  • Video Captures Obama’s Favorite Catch-Phrases

    ‘Make no mistake,’ Obama is a big fan of his own catchphrases.

    This video shows that there’s no mistaking it: “Make no mistake” is President Obama’s favorite catchphrase.
      

    Statistics gathered by the Global Language Monitor reveal that Obama has said it 2,924 times since he was sworn into office more than two years ago.

    Other signature Obama sayings include: "Win the future" (1,861 times),  “Here’s the deal” (1,450 times), and “Let me be clear,” (1,066 times). In a nod to the tough financial times he has faced, the president’s fifth most popular motto is “It will not be easy” (1,059 times).

     
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