July 12, 2026

  • The New AI Advantage: Context Reigns King

    For the past two years, “prompt engineering” has been treated as the defining AI skill. There were endless guides on magic phrases, secret prompt structures, and elaborate templates that promised dramatically better results.

    In the early days, they often made a meaningful difference. They were the differentiator. They’re still an important part of my framework around AI.

    But the landscape and the models have changed.

    Today’s frontier models are remarkably good at understanding intent. Give them a reasonable request, and they’ll often infer the structure, ask clarifying questions, or even build the framework themselves. A prompt that once required a page of careful instructions can now be written in a sentence or two with surprisingly similar results.

    Prompt engineering still matters. Good communication will always matter. But it’s no longer where the biggest advantage lies.

    The new advantage is context.

    From Better Prompts to Better Systems

    The organizations getting the most value from AI aren’t necessarily writing better prompts. They’re building better systems or ecosystems.

    They’ve documented their business. They’ve organized institutional knowledge. They’ve defined their voice, customers, products, and decision-making frameworks. They’ve connected their AI to the information that actually matters … and only what matters.

    In other words, they’ve spent months building an ecosystem instead of minutes writing a prompt.

    A company that’s actually done this has a living record of who owns which decision, a memory of why past calls were made and what happened afterward, and a standing way to tell its AI “here’s what’s changed since you last looked.”

    A Recipe For Slop

    The absence of that information and context is why so much AI-generated content still feels generic, and you see those artifacts of AI-construction.

    It’s not because the models aren’t capable. It’s because they’re operating without context — their defaults come from the sum of the internet’s knowledge, not your organization’s actual preferences.

    When an AI knows nothing about your company, your customers, your history, your goals, or your standards, it fills in the gaps with averages. It sounds like everyone else because, statistically speaking, everyone else is all it knows.

    That’s where the telltale AI signs come from: generic introductions, predictable transitions, vague conclusions, and writing that feels polished but somehow empty. The model isn’t being lazy. It’s doing exactly what it should with incomplete information.

    Think about hiring a new employee.

    You could hire the smartest person in the world. Still, if you sat them at a desk with no onboarding, no documentation, no understanding of your customers, no explanation of your culture, and no access to the institutional knowledge your team has built over the years, you wouldn’t expect exceptional work on day one. You’d expect educated guesses.

    AI is the same.

    A clever prompt might take five minutes to create.

    Someone else can copy it in five seconds.

    They can reverse engineer it, ask another AI to improve it, or find dozens of versions online. Prompts have become increasingly commoditized.

    Context isn’t.

    Context is months of documentation. It’s years of accumulated knowledge. It’s your operating procedures, meeting notes, customer conversations, product documentation, brand standards, strategy papers, and the thousands of small decisions that make your organization unique.

    No two companies will build exactly the same context.

    That’s why context has become a competitive moat.

    Perhaps the word “moat” overclaims slightly. A moat is static — dig it once, it defends forever. What the piece actually describes is closer to a flywheel that decays if you stop turning it. Institutional knowledge rots the same way any documentation rots if nobody keeps it current.

    Context has to be maintained, not just accumulated.

    The Next Competitive Divide

    The gap today isn’t simply between companies that use AI and those that don’t.

    It’s between organizations that have methodically onboarded AI into their businesses — creating systems where intelligent agents understand the company almost like a new employee—and organizations that are still opening a chatbot and typing random questions into a blank text box.

    Those companies are technically using the same technology.

    They’re just not getting the same results.

    Twenty years ago, the differentiator might have been whether your business had a website. Ten years ago, until recently, it was social media presence … then social authority and podcasts. Recently, it was whether you had AI at all. Increasingly, that won’t be enough. The companies that pull ahead will be the ones that invest in building an AI ecosystem: one where knowledge is captured, context is preserved, and intelligent agents are equipped with the same information your best employees rely on every day.

    The next phase of AI won’t be won by whoever writes the cleverest prompt. It will be won by whoever builds the best-informed systems.

    Start with the one thing your best person knows that’s never been written down.

    Onwards!

  • Data As A Commodity in the Age of AI

    As AI becomes more entrenched, data is becoming more important – not less.

    Data is the fastest-growing commodity, and is today’s “wild west” and the battlefield of today’s tech titans. We talk about AI as the new gold rush, but data is the commodity everyone is mining—and the real advantage comes from how you refine it, not just how much you collect.

    At the beginning of 2020, the number of bytes in the digital universe was already 40X greater than the number of stars in the observable universe.

    According to IDC, the volume of data stored globally is doubling roughly every four years — from 33 zettabytes in 2018 toward a projected 175 zettabytes by 2025.

    A staggering 402 million terabytes of data are created daily, which means around 130 zettabytes of data will be generated this year. But those numbers are vastly understated because AI and agents are poised to create and consume data on a scale we’ve never seen before.

    Video is still growing rapidly, and so is IoT, with about 14% annual growth. There are now over 21.1 billion connected devices. Of course, AI is driving growth even higher.

    AlphabetAmazonAppleFacebook, and Microsoft all have unprecedented amounts of data (and power). And the new generation of giants like OpenAI and Anthropic (along with current trends in generative AI content creation, LLM usage, data center growth, etc.) tip the scales further towards almost unimaginable quantities of data, knowledge, and insights.

    Rapid growth means little time to create adequate rules (or tools). Everyone’s jumping to own more data than the next person and to protect it from prying eyes.

    Collecting basic data and using basic analytics were enough … but not anymore. The game is changing. 

    For example, traders used to focus on price data … but there has been an influx of firms using alternative data sets and making extraordinary investments in hardware and software to find an edge. If you’re using the same data sources as your competitors and competing on the same set of beliefs, it’s hard to find a sustainable edge. 

    Understanding the game others are playing (and its rules) is important. However, that’s only table stakes.

    Figuring out where you can find extra insight — or where you can make the invisible visible — is what actually separates you from the field. But like the flywheel this week’s other piece [link] describes, it’s a separation you have to keep re-earning, not something you bank once.

    Here is a quick high-level video recorded back in 2019 on data as fuel for your business — it holds up remarkably well. Check it out.

    It is interesting to think about what’s driving the new world (of trading, technology, AI, etc.), which often involves identifying what drove the old world.

    History has a way of repeating itself. Even when it doesn’t repeat itself, it often rhymes.

    With that said, the key to unlocking the pathway to the new world often comes from a new or alternative data set that lets you approach the problem, challenge, or opportunity from a different perspective.

    Before e-mails, fax machines were amazing. Before cars, people were happy with horses and buggies. Now, let’s talk about how technological improvements like dashboards and reporting seem old-world compared to firms that use data to re-architect their business models, create whole new opportunities … or even new industries.

    These comparisons help explain the importance of data in today’s new-world economics.

    New World Economics Data Is A Precious Commodity_GapingVoid

    via gapingvoid

    Data as the New Oil

    You’ve heard “data is the new oil” before — it’s been the opening line of tech keynotes for over a decade. Clichés survive because something true is under them. Worth pushing on where this one holds and where it breaks.

    Petroleum has played a pivotal role in human advancement since the Industrial Revolution. It fueled (and still fuels) our creativity, technology advancements, and a variety of derivative byproducts. There are direct competitors to fossil fuels gaining steam, but I think it’s more interesting to compare petroleum to data because of their parallels in their effects on innovation.

    Pumping crude oil out of the ground and transforming it into a finished product is not a simple process. Yet, it is relatively easy for someone to understand the process at a high level. You have to locate a reservoir, drill, capture the resource, and then refine it to the desired product – heating oil, gasoline, asphalt, plastics, etc. 

    We discussed this in the video, thinking through what actually makes data usable:

    You’ve got to figure out what data you might have, how it might be useful, you have to figure out how to refine it, clean it, fix it, curate it, transform it into something useful, and then how to deliver it to the people that need it in their business. And even if you’ve done this, you then have to make people aware that it’s there, that it’s changing, or how they might use it. For people who do it well, it’s an incredible edge. – Howard Getson

    In a sense, data fuels the information economy much like oil fuels the industrial economy. The amount of power someone has can be correlated to their control of and access to these resources. Likewise, things that diminish or constrain access or use of these resources can lead to extreme consequences.

    Why Data Is Better Than Oil

    The analogy works, but it’s just that, an analogy, and the more you analyze it, the more it falls apart. Unlike the finite resource that is oil, data is all around us and increasing at an exponential rate, so the game is a little different:

    • Data is a renewable resource. It’s durable, it’s reusable, and it’s being produced faster than we can process it.
    • Because it’s not a scarce resource, there’s no need to hoard it – you can use it, transform it, and share it, knowing it won’t diminish.
    • Data becomes more valuable the more you use it.
    • As the world’s oil reserves dwindle, and renewable resources grow in popularity and effectiveness, the relative value of oil drops. It’s unlikely that will happen to data.
    • Also, while data transport is important, it’s not expensive the way it was with oil. Here is an example difference that dramatically changes the implications… Data can be transported, replicated, and transformed at light speed.

    The cheapest crude you’ll ever refine is the data you’re already generating and throwing away.

    Another high-value data concept is that alternative data gives traders an advantage, but it doesn’t always require confidential or hard-to-find information.

    For example, Traders now have access to vast amounts of structured and unstructured data. A significant source that many overlook is the data produced through their own process or the metadata from their own trades or transactions.

    The video highlights a prediction about where this goes next:

    In the very near future, I expect these systems to be able to go out and search for different sources of information. It’s almost like the algorithm becomes an omnivore. Instead of simply looking at market data or transactional data, or even metadata, it starts to look for connections or feedback loops that are profitable in sources of data that the human would never have thought of. – Howard Getson

    A word of caution: there are two common mistakes people make when making data-driven decisions.

    First, people often become slaves to the data, losing sight of the bigger picture. It’s a mistake that’s become even more common in the age of AI. Both data and AI are extraordinary tools, but neither should replace critical thinking, experience, or judgment. AI can summarize, analyze, and recommend at incredible speed, but it still requires humans to ask the right questions, validate the answers, and decide what truly matters.

    Second, even the most sophisticated models can’t predict black swan events. AI excels at identifying patterns in what has happened before, but history doesn’t always repeat itself. The unexpected still happens. Resilience, adaptability, and preparation remain just as important as prediction.

    The future of data has never been brighter, but the challenges have grown just as quickly. Privacy concerns, data ownership, misinformation, and synthetic content are no longer theoretical debates—they’re everyday realities. Likewise, AI has dramatically lowered the cost of creating convincing text, images, audio, and video, making it easier than ever to blur the line between fact and fiction. At the same time, organizations are collecting and generating more information than ever before, making the ability to distinguish signal from noise one of the defining skills of the modern era. And all that doesn’t begin to unpack the risks from data quality, model risk, and how to know when you’re approaching the point of diminishing returns.

    I believe one of the greatest challenges facing our youth—and, increasingly, all of us—isn’t a lack of information. It’s an overabundance of it.

    No previous generation has had access to this much knowledge, or been bombarded by this much content. Ironically, more information doesn’t always produce greater understanding. Algorithms reward engagement over nuance. Headlines replace deep reading. AI can generate answers in seconds, but it can also create the illusion of expertise without the substance to back it up. The bottleneck is no longer access to information; it’s discernment.

    The winners won’t simply be the people or organizations with the most data or the most powerful AI. They’ll be the ones who know what information to trust, what to ignore, and how to systematically combine technology with sound judgment.

    In an age when intelligence is increasingly abundant, wisdom becomes increasingly scarce.

    The question is no longer how to collect more data.

    It’s how to use it without becoming a victim of it.