Albert Einstein said: “Everybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.”
So true!
We just finished some planning sessions, and this lesson showed its relevance several times.
This is a message that bears repeating.
If you focus on what you do well that gives you energy and sparks your passion, the rest seems to take care of itself … and genius emerges.
Here is a 1-year-old who apparantly believes all media are touch-screen-enabled. She does not seem to understand that a magazine was not designed to respond to pinching or prodding.
My kids can't understand how I did school-work without a computer or the Internet. Their kids may not believe that people used to do their reading on paper.
Here is a 1-year-old who apparantly believes all media are touch-screen-enabled. She does not seem to understand that a magazine was not designed to respond to pinching or prodding.
My kids can't understand how I did school-work without a computer or the Internet. Their kids may not believe that people used to do their reading on paper.
An analysis of VC deal activity at the internet angel and seed stages shows there has not been any sign of an investment slowdown. Not even close actually.
In fact, September 2011 angel & seed VC activity was up 172% since January 2010 and at the highest levels in the last seven quarters. You can see the actual trend based on real data here.
Also, last week, CB Insight's Q3's quarterly VC report came out which also showed that the sky clearly is not falling. Here are some of the headlines:
$7.9B invested in 790 deals in Q3 2011
NY overtook Massachusetts on deals AND dollars for 1st time. It's just one quarter, so we'll see how Q4 turns out
Healthcare VC keeps dropping – somebody call 911
Green Tech shows some life
Seed VC still growing – VCs continue to like the optionality that seed investments provide.
Of course, there is a lot more so go get the report here. It's free to download and 61 pages chock full of VC data goodness.
There is a slight, but potentially growing, disconnect between the S&P 500 Index and the Asian stock markets (specifically the Hang Seng).
On Friday the Hang Seng lost 1%. Moreover, looking at the recent price performance action … on a 20 day basis, the Hang Seng acting very different than other world markets.
Signal Financial Group just updated their seasonal chart series for the Hang Seng Index. It indicates that we could be at a turning point, with little upside expected based on historical patterns.
A Little Risk/Reward Exercise in Portfolio Diversification.
If the S&P continues to the upside … the Hang Seng may not follow. Thus, over the next few weeks, some traders may look at a potential Long S&P and Short Hang Seng play.
Just as an example, here is a quick look at a portfolio study covering 6 weeks, comparing the performance of a portfolio based solely on the S&P 500 Index versus a portfolio that is long the S&P (using 90% of capital) and short the Hang Seng (with 10% of capital).
Portfolio Allocation:
Equity Portfolio:
100% Long S&P 500 Index
Mixed Portfolio:
90% Long S&P 500 Index and 10% Short Hang Seng
The chart below provides a basic analysis, identifying the differences between the two portfolios. The chart is divided into three sections: return comparison, risk comparison and portfolio change. The first section shows the percent return figures for the portfolios over a recent six week period. The second section focuses on risk, which is defined as standard deviation of return, over the same six week time period. The final section shows the net percentage change to the portfolio's performance based on the small 10% allocation to Hang Seng.
The diversification helps the risk/reward ratio in the study. That looks like something to watch for in the coming weeks. Hope it helps.